Sport Picks
Match Events
14'
14'
Martin D.
Own Goal
89'
89'
Munoz J.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2023/2024 game between Maracena and Ejido finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
56%
35%
9%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Maracena
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ejido carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Maracena's way, sitting at 80%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Maracena Clean Sheet 15%
Ejido Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Maracena | Ejido |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 34 |
| Wins | 6 | 7 |
| Draws | 12 | 9 |
| Losses | 14 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 0.84 | 1.06 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 31, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Maracena vs Ejido
1:1
Nov 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Ejido vs Maracena
1:1
Mar 22, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Maracena vs Ejido
0:0
Nov 3, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Ejido vs Maracena
2:0
Mar 22, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Ejido vs Maracena
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Maracena Compare
Top Goalscorer Munoz J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Ejido Compare
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Maracena 75 / 100
Ejido 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Maracena Ejido
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Maracena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ejido has conceded goals in 85% of their last 34 outings.
Maracena scored in 63% of their last 32 games.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Solid form: Maracena remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Maracena VS Ejido
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
33% Over 2.5 50%
33% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Maracena
(Home) 28 Oct
Maracena
0 : 5 Valencia
04 Oct
Maracena
2 : 0 Sporting Ceuta
27 Sept
Sporting Ceuta
1 : 1 Maracena
12 May
Maracena
1 : 1 CD Torreperogil
05 May
Motril
1 : 1 Maracena
Page 1 of 7
28 Oct
Maracena
0 : 5 Valencia
04 Oct
Maracena
2 : 0 Sporting Ceuta
12 May
Maracena
1 : 1 CD Torreperogil
01 May
Maracena
0 : 1 Huetor Vega
21 Apr
Maracena
1 : 2 Arenas Armilla
Page 1 of 4
Ejido
(Away) 11 May
Ejido
1 : 3 El Palo
04 May
Huetor Tajar
1 : 0 Ejido
01 May
Ejido
1 : 2 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
27 Apr
Atletico de Porcuna
1 : 1 Ejido
13 Apr
Ejido
0 : 3 Motril
Page 1 of 7
04 May
Huetor Tajar
1 : 0 Ejido
27 Apr
Atletico de Porcuna
1 : 1 Ejido
06 Apr
Torre del Mar
3 : 0 Ejido
16 Mar
Arenas Armilla
2 : 2 Ejido
02 Mar
Jaen
5 : 1 Ejido
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Torremolinos | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 65:23 | 76 |
| 2 | Jaen | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 66:28 | 73 |
| 3 | Malaga B | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 54:20 | 67 |
| 4 | Almeria B | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 75:28 | 67 |
| 5 | Torre del Mar | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 44:30 | 62 |
| 6 | Motril | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 36:23 | 50 |
| 7 | Arenas Armilla | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 34:39 | 48 |
| 8 | CP Almeria | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 39:37 | 46 |
| 9 | Huetor Vega | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 40:41 | 46 |
| 10 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 46:46 | 43 |
| 11 | Mancha | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 41:43 | 39 |
| 12 | CD Torreperogil | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 32:41 | 38 |
| 13 | Ejido | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | 30:41 | 37 |
| 14 | Huetor Tajar | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 25:39 | 35 |
| 15 | Malaga Juniors | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 27:47 | 33 |
| 16 | Maracena | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 29:50 | 31 |
| 17 | Rincon | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 30:54 | 28 |
| 18 | Atletico Melilla | 34 | 0 | 7 | 27 | 18:101 | 4 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
