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Maracena vs Mancha

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Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2023/2024
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2023/2024 game between Maracena and Mancha finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Maracena
35%
Draws
30%
Mancha
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mancha come out ahead of Maracena on wins alone.
  • 30% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Maracena Clean Sheet 20%
Mancha Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maracena Mancha
Matches Played 32 37
Wins 6 12
Draws 12 10
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 0.84 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.59 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Maracena vs Mancha
0:0
Oct 1, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mancha vs Maracena
0:0
Apr 4, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Maracena vs Mancha
1:0
Jan 10, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Mancha vs Maracena
4:0
Feb 26, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Maracena vs Mancha
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maracena 36 / 100
Mancha 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maracena Mancha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mancha Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maracena scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Mancha has conceded goals in 62% of their last 37 outings.

Maracena has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mancha
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Maracena

(Home)
28 Oct
Maracena
0 : 5
Valencia
04 Oct
Maracena
2 : 0
Sporting Ceuta
27 Sept
Sporting Ceuta
1 : 1
Maracena
12 May
Maracena
1 : 1
CD Torreperogil
05 May
Motril
1 : 1
Maracena
Page 1 of 7

Mancha

(Away)
10 May
CD Alhaurino
1 : 1
Mancha
03 May
Mancha
1 : 2
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
26 Apr
Granada CF B
2 : 2
Mancha
19 Apr
Mancha
2 : 1
Huetor Vega
11 Apr
Huetor Tajar
2 : 1
Mancha
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Torremolinos 34 23 7 4 65:23 76
2 Jaen 34 22 7 5 66:28 73
3 Malaga B 34 19 10 5 54:20 67
4 Almeria B 34 19 10 5 75:28 67
5 Torre del Mar 34 18 8 8 44:30 62
6 Motril 34 13 11 10 36:23 50
7 Arenas Armilla 34 14 6 14 34:39 48
8 CP Almeria 34 11 13 10 39:37 46
9 Huetor Vega 34 13 7 14 40:41 46
10 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 34 11 10 13 46:46 43
11 Mancha 34 9 12 13 41:43 39
12 CD Torreperogil 34 9 11 14 32:41 38
13 Ejido 34 7 16 11 30:41 37
14 Huetor Tajar 34 7 14 13 25:39 35
15 Malaga Juniors 34 7 12 15 27:47 33
16 Maracena 34 6 13 15 29:50 31
17 Rincon 34 6 10 18 30:54 28
18 Atletico Melilla 34 0 7 27 18:101 4
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2023/2024 (Play Offs)