Sport Picks
Maracena vs Villacarrillo Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015 game between Maracena and Villacarrillo finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maracena.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
20%
30%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Maracena
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Villacarrillo come out ahead of Maracena on wins alone.
- 50% — that's where the model lands on Maracena taking it.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Maracena Clean Sheet 20%
Villacarrillo Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Maracena | Villacarrillo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 4 | 7 |
| Draws | 13 | 4 |
| Losses | 14 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 0.77 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 2.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 11, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Maracena vs Villacarrillo
0:2
Oct 22, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Villacarrillo vs Maracena
1:1
Apr 26, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Maracena vs Villacarrillo
3:1
Dec 6, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Villacarrillo vs Maracena
0:1
Jan 26, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Villacarrillo vs Maracena
4:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Maracena 67 / 100
Villacarrillo 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Maracena Villacarrillo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Maracena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Villacarrillo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Maracena went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Villacarrillo lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Maracena VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Maracena
(Home) 04 Oct
Tavernes
1 : 0 Maracena
27 Sept
Maracena
1 : 1 Tavernes
28 Oct
Maracena
0 : 5 Valencia
04 Oct
Maracena
2 : 0 Sporting Ceuta
27 Sept
Sporting Ceuta
1 : 1 Maracena
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Maracena
1 : 1 Tavernes
28 Oct
Maracena
0 : 5 Valencia
04 Oct
Maracena
2 : 0 Sporting Ceuta
12 May
Maracena
1 : 1 CD Torreperogil
01 May
Maracena
0 : 1 Huetor Vega
Page 1 of 4
Villacarrillo
(Away) 13 May
Villacarrillo
6 : 3 Guadix
06 May
Velez
4 : 0 Villacarrillo
29 Apr
Villacarrillo
0 : 3 Linares
22 Apr
Malaga B
3 : 0 Villacarrillo
15 Apr
Villacarrillo
2 : 3 Loja
Page 1 of 6
06 May
Velez
4 : 0 Villacarrillo
22 Apr
Malaga B
3 : 0 Villacarrillo
08 Apr
Jaen
3 : 2 Villacarrillo
24 Mar
El Palo
1 : 0 Villacarrillo
11 Mar
Maracena
0 : 2 Villacarrillo
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Linares | 38 | 27 | 7 | 4 | 88:26 | 88 |
| 2 | Malaga B | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 69:36 | 75 |
| 3 | UD San Pedro | 38 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 65:35 | 73 |
| 4 | Martos | 38 | 22 | 5 | 11 | 66:42 | 71 |
| 5 | Loja | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 55:36 | 69 |
| 6 | Huetor Tajar | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 53:37 | 62 |
| 7 | Los Villares | 38 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 43:37 | 58 |
| 8 | Maracena | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 66:52 | 57 |
| 9 | Guadix | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 49:49 | 51 |
| 10 | Mancha | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 36:34 | 50 |
| 11 | Velez | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 49:47 | 49 |
| 12 | Espanol Alquian | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 53:70 | 48 |
| 13 | Ejido | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55:75 | 47 |
| 14 | CD Ronda | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 52:63 | 43 |
| 15 | Antequera | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 51:55 | 42 |
| 16 | Alhaurin | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 43:74 | 41 |
| 17 | Atarfe Industrial | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 53:70 | 37 |
| 18 | Villacarrillo | 38 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 32:64 | 31 |
| 19 | Atletico Melilla | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 29:58 | 30 |
| 20 | Los Molinos CF | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 32:79 | 26 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
