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Maranguape vs Floresta EC

Brazil Brazil

Cearense Estadio Moraisao, Maranguape
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Maranguape L.
21'
Joao Celeri
29' Event
Joao Victor
Assist: Bismark

AI Match Summary

Floresta EC in this Cearense matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Floresta EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Maranguape
15%
Draws
54%
Floresta EC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Floresta EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Maranguape have won more games recently than Floresta EC.
  • 54% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Cearense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Maranguape Clean Sheet 21%
Floresta EC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maranguape Floresta EC
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 13 11
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Cearense
Maranguape vs Floresta EC
0:3
Jul 14, 2021 Club Friendly
Floresta EC vs Maranguape
1:2
Jan 10, 2018 Cearense
Floresta EC vs Maranguape
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maranguape Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Floresta EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Victor
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eduardo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maranguape 32 / 100
Floresta EC 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maranguape Floresta EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Floresta EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maranguape's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Floresta EC has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Maranguape has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Floresta EC
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Maranguape

(Home)
09 Feb
Quixada
1 : 3
Maranguape
03 Feb
Maranguape
3 : 2
Tirol
28 Jan
Maranguape
1 : 1
Maracana
17 Jan
Maranguape
0 : 3
Floresta EC
15 Jan
Ceara
1 : 0
Maranguape
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Floresta EC

(Away)
12 Sept
Botafogo PB
0 : 1
Floresta EC
06 Sept
Floresta EC
0 : 1
Maringa FC
29 Aug
Floresta EC
2 : 0
Ituano
22 Aug
Volta Redonda
1 : 2
Floresta EC
16 Aug
Floresta EC
1 : 0
Anapolis
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fortaleza 4 3 1 0 6:0 10
2 Ferroviario 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
3 Horizonte 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
4 Quixada 4 1 1 2 2:6 4
5 Maracana 4 0 0 4 1:5 0
Promotion - Cearense (Championship Group)
Relegation - Cearense (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceara 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
2 Floresta EC 4 2 1 1 6:2 7
3 Iguatu 4 1 3 0 4:2 6
4 Maranguape 4 1 0 3 1:6 3
5 Tirol 4 0 1 3 1:7 1
Promotion - Cearense (Championship Group)
Relegation - Cearense (Relegation Group)