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Maranguape vs Guarani de Juazeiro

Brazil Brazil

Cearense 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Doda

AI Match Summary

The Cearense 2 2025 game between Maranguape and Guarani de Juazeiro finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maranguape.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Maranguape
33%
Draws
27%
Guarani de Juazeiro
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Maranguape

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Maranguape carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Maranguape's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Maranguape Clean Sheet 68%
Guarani de Juazeiro Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maranguape Guarani de Juazeiro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 6 9
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2025 Cearense 2
Maranguape vs Guarani de Juazeiro
1:0
Mar 17, 2024 Cearense 2
Maranguape vs Guarani de Juazeiro
1:1
Jan 24, 2018 Cearense
Guarani de Juazeiro vs Maranguape
2:0
Mar 22, 2017 Cearense
Guarani de Juazeiro vs Maranguape
5:1
Mar 18, 2017 Cearense
Maranguape vs Guarani de Juazeiro
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maranguape Compare

Top Goalscorer Doda
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Guarani de Juazeiro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maranguape 50 / 100
Guarani de Juazeiro 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maranguape Guarani de Juazeiro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maranguape found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Guarani de Juazeiro conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Maranguape has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Maranguape VS Guarani de Juazeiro
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Itapipoca-
TBD-
Maranguape1
Guarani de Juazeiro0
Quixada-
TBD-
Crato1
Caucaia0
Semi-finals
Itapipoca2
Maranguape4
Quixada3
Crato3
Final
Maranguape2
Quixada1