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Maranguape vs Tiradentes

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Cearense 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Aldair
45' Event
Lessim

AI Match Summary

The Cearense 2 2025 game between Maranguape and Tiradentes finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maranguape.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Maranguape
20%
Draws
10%
Tiradentes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Maranguape

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Tiradentes haven't matched Maranguape's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Maranguape's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Cearense 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Maranguape Clean Sheet 68%
Tiradentes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maranguape Tiradentes
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 2
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.13 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 0.97
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2025 Cearense 2
Tiradentes vs Maranguape
0:4
Feb 16, 2025 Cearense 2
Maranguape vs Tiradentes
2:0
Mar 24, 2024 Cearense 2
Maranguape vs Tiradentes
0:1
Jan 28, 2018 Cearense
Tiradentes vs Maranguape
3:0
Feb 11, 2017 Cearense
Maranguape vs Tiradentes
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maranguape Compare

Top Goalscorer Aldair
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lessim
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Tiradentes Compare

Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.54

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maranguape 95 / 100
Tiradentes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maranguape Tiradentes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maranguape Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tiradentes conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Maranguape's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Maranguape stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maranguape VS Tiradentes
1.63 Goals Scored 1.2
0.75 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 80%

Recent Form & Match History

Maranguape

(Home)
09 Feb
Quixada
1 : 3
Maranguape
03 Feb
Maranguape
3 : 2
Tirol
28 Jan
Maranguape
1 : 1
Maracana
17 Jan
Maranguape
0 : 3
Floresta EC
15 Jan
Ceara
1 : 0
Maranguape
Page 1 of 7

Tiradentes

(Away)
23 Mar
Atletico Cearense
2 : 2
Tiradentes
17 Mar
Tiradentes
1 : 2
Itapipoca
13 Mar
Tiradentes
0 : 4
Maranguape
10 Mar
Tiradentes
2 : 4
Caucaia
21 Feb
Tiradentes
1 : 3
Atletico Cearense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itapipoca 8 6 1 1 15:4 19
2 Maranguape 8 5 1 2 11:4 16
3 Caucaia 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
4 Atletico Cearense 8 1 3 4 8:15 6
5 Tiradentes 8 0 2 6 6:18 2
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 3 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quixada 8 5 1 2 14:11 16
2 Crato 8 3 2 3 13:10 11
3 Guarani de Juazeiro 8 3 2 3 11:14 11
4 Icasa 8 2 5 1 14:7 11
5 Pacatuba 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Cearense 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Cearense 3 (Main)