Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maranhao vs Pinheiro

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2025 Estádio Governador João Castelo, São Luís
Maranhao Logo

Maranhao

1 - 1
FT
Pinheiro Logo

Pinheiro

Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Alan B.
67' Event
Pereira C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Maranhense 2025 game between Maranhao and Pinheiro finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Maranhao
30%
Draws
31%
Pinheiro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Maranhao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Maranhao carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Maranhao are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Maranhense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Maranhao Clean Sheet 68%
Pinheiro Clean Sheet 21%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maranhao Pinheiro
Matches Played 44 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 12 11
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.05 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2025 Maranhense
Maranhao vs Pinheiro
1:1
Jan 15, 2025 Maranhense
Pinheiro vs Maranhao
2:0
Mar 2, 2024 Maranhense
Maranhao vs Pinheiro
2:0
Jan 20, 2024 Maranhense
Pinheiro vs Maranhao
2:2
Mar 5, 2023 Maranhense
Maranhao vs Pinheiro
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maranhao Compare

Top Goalscorer Alan B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Pinheiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Pereira C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maranhao 68 / 100
Pinheiro 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maranhao Pinheiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maranhao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pinheiro has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Maranhao remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Maranhao found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (44 games).

Scoring Trends

Maranhao VS Pinheiro
0.25 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
13% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Maranhao

(Home)
29 Aug
Figueirense
2 : 1
Maranhao
23 Aug
Maranhao
4 : 1
Itabaiana
15 Aug
Santa Cruz
0 : 1
Maranhao
09 Aug
Maranhao
2 : 1
Brusque
25 Jul
Ferroviaria
0 : 0
Maranhao
Page 1 of 9

Pinheiro

(Away)
22 Jul
Lago Verde
2 : 2
Pinheiro
18 Jul
Pinheiro
0 : 2
Lago Verde
15 Jul
Sao Luis
0 : 1
Pinheiro
11 Jul
Pinheiro
1 : 1
Sao Luis
28 Jun
Pinheiro
2 : 1
Viana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 IAPE 14 7 3 4 18:13 24
2 Sampaio Correa 14 6 5 3 18:11 23
3 Imperatriz 14 6 5 3 17:10 23
4 Maranhao 14 6 5 3 16:10 23
5 Moto Club 14 6 5 3 15:9 23
6 Tuntum 14 4 5 5 16:14 17
7 Pinheiro 14 4 4 6 13:15 16
8 Viana 14 1 0 13 5:36 3
Promotion - Maranhense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Maranhense 2 (Main)