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Maranhao vs Volta Redonda

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estádio Governador João Castelo, São Luís
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Vander
18'
Wagninho
45' Event
Vander
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Maranhao in this Serie C matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maranhao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Maranhao
35%
Draws
19%
Volta Redonda
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Maranhao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Volta Redonda have won more games recently than Maranhao.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Maranhao taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Maranhao Clean Sheet 68%
Volta Redonda Clean Sheet 21%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maranhao Volta Redonda
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 10
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.72 1
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Serie C
Maranhao vs Volta Redonda
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maranhao Compare

Top Goalscorer Vander
1 Goals
Assists Leader Felipe Cruz
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Volta Redonda Compare

Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maranhao 68 / 100
Volta Redonda 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maranhao Volta Redonda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Volta Redonda conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Maranhao stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Volta Redonda has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Maranhao VS Volta Redonda
0.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
13% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Maranhao

(Home)
25 Jul
Ferroviaria
0 : 0
Maranhao
12 Jul
Maranhao
2 : 1
Ypiranga FC
04 Jul
Maranhao
0 : 1
Internacional de Limeira
28 Jun
Ituano
0 : 0
Maranhao
21 Jun
Maranhao
0 : 1
Paysandu PA
Page 1 of 6

Volta Redonda

(Away)
25 Jul
Volta Redonda
1 : 4
Anapolis
20 Jul
Volta Redonda
0 : 0
Sao Goncalo
16 Jul
Sao Goncalo
2 : 1
Volta Redonda
13 Jul
Figueirense
0 : 0
Volta Redonda
04 Jul
Maringa FC
4 : 0
Volta Redonda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brusque 15 8 3 4 21:15 27
2 Guarani 15 7 5 3 28:15 26
3 Botafogo PB 15 8 1 6 21:16 25
4 Internacional de Limeira 15 7 4 4 18:17 25
5 Santa Cruz 15 7 3 5 15:11 24
6 Paysandu PA 15 7 2 6 23:21 23
7 Maringa FC 15 6 5 4 28:25 23
8 Ferroviaria 15 6 5 4 15:12 23
9 Ypiranga FC 15 6 3 6 18:19 21
10 SER Caxias do Sul 15 5 6 4 14:12 21
11 Floresta EC 15 5 6 4 16:15 21
12 Amazonas 15 6 2 7 15:20 20
13 Figueirense 15 5 5 5 13:18 20
14 Ituano 15 5 4 6 16:17 19
15 Volta Redonda 15 5 3 7 11:19 18
16 Maranhao 15 4 6 5 11:14 18
17 Itabaiana 15 4 5 6 13:18 17
18 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 15 3 6 6 17:17 15
19 Anapolis 15 3 3 9 13:19 12
20 Confianca 15 3 3 9 9:15 12
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)