Sport Picks
Marathon vs Lobos UPNFM
Honduras
Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio Yankel Rosenthal, San Pedro Sula 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Liga Nacional 2025/2026 game between Marathon and Lobos UPNFM finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marathon.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Lobos UPNFM haven't matched Marathon's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Marathon's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Marathon | Lobos UPNFM |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 6 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 8 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.73 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Marathon Compare
Lobos UPNFM Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lobos UPNFM's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
Marathon has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Marathon found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Marathon
(Home)Lobos UPNFM
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Espana | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 37:25 | 40 |
| 2 | Motagua | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 36:17 | 39 |
| 3 | Olimpia | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 35:17 | 38 |
| 4 | Olancho | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 28:16 | 32 |
| 5 | Marathon | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23:19 | 27 |
| 6 | Genesis FC | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 20:28 | 23 |
| 7 | CD Choloma | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23:32 | 23 |
| 8 | Platense | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 26:29 | 21 |
| 9 | Lobos UPNFM | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23:30 | 21 |
| 10 | Juticalpa | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 18:41 | 18 |
| 11 | Victoria | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 25:40 | 16 |
