Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Marbella vs Sabadell

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Banus Football Center, Marbella
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Lazaro Cervera J. C.
19'
Eugeni
31'
Escassi A.

AI Match Summary

Sabadell in this Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sabadell.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Marbella
35%
Draws
45%
Sabadell
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sabadell

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sabadell lately — more wins on the board than Marbella.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Sabadell taking it.
  • Regular Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Marbella Clean Sheet 10%
Sabadell Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marbella Sabadell
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 8 15
Draws 2 10
Losses 21 8
Goals Scored 1 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.58 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.46 2.08
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Marbella vs Sabadell
0:1
Jan 11, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Sabadell vs Marbella
5:0
Sep 2, 2009 Copa del Rey
Sabadell vs Marbella
0:1
Jun 19, 1993 LaLiga2
Marbella vs Sabadell
4:1
Jan 24, 1993 LaLiga2
Sabadell vs Marbella
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marbella Compare

Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.73

Sabadell Compare

Top Goalscorer Godoy A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.89
Avg xA / game 1.16

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marbella 18 / 100
Sabadell 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marbella Sabadell

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sabadell Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Marbella's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Sabadell let in goals in 48% of their last 33 matches.

Marbella went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marbella VS Sabadell
1.67 Goals Scored 1.5
2.67 Goals Conceded 1.25
67% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 38%
67% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Marbella

(Home)
22 May
Marbella
3 : 1
Teruel
16 May
Alcorcon
6 : 2
Marbella
10 May
Marbella
0 : 1
Torremolinos
03 May
Eldense
3 : 1
Marbella
26 Apr
Marbella
0 : 1
Sabadell
Page 1 of 7

Sabadell

(Away)
23 Aug
Castellon
0 : 0
Sabadell
17 Aug
Gijon
0 : 0
Sabadell
09 Aug
Olot
0 : 3
Sabadell
07 Aug
Girona
2 : 2
Sabadell
01 Aug
FC Andorra
0 : 0
Sabadell
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eldense 38 19 12 7 57:39 69
2 Sabadell 38 18 14 6 53:27 68
3 Atl. Madrid B 38 19 10 9 64:44 67
4 Villarreal B 38 16 15 7 54:32 63
5 CE Europa 38 16 12 10 55:50 60
6 FC Cartagena SAD 38 15 12 11 37:38 57
7 Antequera 38 16 8 14 47:44 56
8 Algeciras 38 15 10 13 40:41 55
9 Hercules 38 14 12 12 43:41 54
10 Murcia 38 14 10 14 43:40 52
11 Alcorcon 38 12 15 11 44:38 51
12 UD Ibiza 38 13 11 14 44:38 50
13 Teruel 38 12 13 13 27:33 49
14 Gimnastic de Tarragona 38 13 8 17 40:49 47
15 Torremolinos 38 11 13 14 45:51 46
16 Betis B 38 12 9 17 48:59 45
17 Tarazona 38 11 12 15 31:40 45
18 Marbella 38 9 7 22 36:55 34
19 Sanluqueno 38 7 10 21 27:53 31
20 Sevilla B 38 5 13 20 21:44 28
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)