Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Marbella vs Villarreal B

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Banus Football Center, Marbella
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Sierra I.
54'
Ruiz A.
56'
Sub
Barry M. In: El Jmili N.
Out: Barry M.

AI Match Summary

The Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Marbella and Villarreal B finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Villarreal B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Marbella
20%
Draws
52%
Villarreal B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Villarreal B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Villarreal B come out ahead of Marbella on wins alone.
  • Villarreal B are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Villarreal B have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Marbella Clean Sheet 11%
Villarreal B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marbella Villarreal B
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 8 18
Draws 3 10
Losses 20 3
Goals Scored 1.13 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.77 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Marbella vs Villarreal B
0:1
Jan 4, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Villarreal B vs Marbella
3:1
Mar 9, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Marbella vs Villarreal B
0:2
Dec 8, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Villarreal B vs Marbella
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marbella Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Villarreal B Compare

Top Goalscorer Eto'o E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.63
Avg xA / game 0.99

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marbella 10 / 100
Villarreal B 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marbella Villarreal B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villarreal B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Marbella went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Marbella scored in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Villarreal B has conceded goals in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Marbella VS Villarreal B
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.83 Goals Conceded 1
83% Over 1.5 100%
83% Over 2.5 25%
67% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Marbella

(Home)
20 Sept
Marbella
4 : 1
Atletico Central
13 Sept
Sevilla B
3 : 0
Marbella
06 Sept
Marbella
2 : 2
Sanluqueno
29 Aug
Torre del Mar
4 : 0
Marbella
22 May
Marbella
3 : 1
Teruel
Page 1 of 7

Villarreal B

(Away)
19 Sept
Villarreal B
2 : 2
Antequera
13 Sept
Huesca
0 : 3
Villarreal B
04 Sept
Villarreal B
2 : 1
Algeciras
29 Aug
Rayo Majadahonda
1 : 2
Villarreal B
22 Aug
Teruel
0 : 2
Villarreal B
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eldense 38 19 12 7 57:39 69
2 Sabadell 38 18 14 6 53:27 68
3 Atl. Madrid B 38 19 10 9 64:44 67
4 Villarreal B 38 16 15 7 54:32 63
5 CE Europa 38 16 12 10 55:50 60
6 FC Cartagena SAD 38 15 12 11 37:38 57
7 Antequera 38 16 8 14 47:44 56
8 Algeciras 38 15 10 13 40:41 55
9 Hercules 38 14 12 12 43:41 54
10 Murcia 38 14 10 14 43:40 52
11 Alcorcon 38 12 15 11 44:38 51
12 UD Ibiza 38 13 11 14 44:38 50
13 Teruel 38 12 13 13 27:33 49
14 Gimnastic de Tarragona 38 13 8 17 40:49 47
15 Torremolinos 38 11 13 14 45:51 46
16 Betis B 38 12 9 17 48:59 45
17 Tarazona 38 11 12 15 31:40 45
18 Marbella 38 9 7 22 36:55 34
19 Sanluqueno 38 7 10 21 27:53 31
20 Sevilla B 38 5 13 20 21:44 28
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)