Sport Picks
Marbelli vs Atletico de Porcuna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 9 
AI Match Summary
Marbelli host Atletico de Porcuna in the Tercera RFEF - Group 9. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Marbelli at 1.13 goals for, 0.8 against; Atletico de Porcuna at 1.3 for, 1.33 against. Past meetings favor Marbelli slightly — 2-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 15, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 0.88, favoring Marbelli. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Marbelli have won more games recently than Atletico de Porcuna.
- 48% — that's where the model lands on Marbelli taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Marbelli | Atletico de Porcuna |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.8 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Marbelli scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Atletico de Porcuna let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.
Marbelli has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Marbelli
(Home)Atletico de Porcuna
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melilla | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 13:5 | 18 |
| 2 | Almeria B | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:4 | 16 |
| 3 | Arenas Armilla | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15:7 | 15 |
| 4 | Motril | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:5 | 15 |
| 5 | Marbelli | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 13 |
| 6 | UD San Pedro | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9:10 | 12 |
| 7 | Malaga B | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:7 | 11 |
| 8 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 11 |
| 9 | Churriana de la Vega | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:10 | 10 |
| 10 | Granada CF B | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:6 | 10 |
| 11 | Atletico de Porcuna | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:15 | 10 |
| 12 | CD Alhaurino | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 13 | Torre del Mar | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:8 | 7 |
| 14 | Huetor Vega | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:14 | 6 |
| 15 | Atletico de Marbella | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:9 | 5 |
| 16 | Mancha | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:11 | 5 |
| 17 | Cantoria | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4:12 | 3 |
| 18 | Malaga Juniors | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5:18 | 0 |
