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Marbelli vs CD Alhaurino - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Marbelli host CD Alhaurino in the Tercera RFEF - Group 9. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Marbelli at 1.2 goals for, 0.77 against; CD Alhaurino at 1.17 for, 1.14 against. Past meetings favor Marbelli slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 18, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.13 - 1.06) back Marbelli to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Marbelli
20%
Draws
19%
CD Alhaurino
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Marbelli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Marbelli carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Marbelli taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Marbelli Clean Sheet 20%
CD Alhaurino Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marbelli CD Alhaurino
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.2 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Marbelli vs CD Alhaurino
2:1
Sep 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Alhaurino vs Marbelli
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marbelli 85 / 100
CD Alhaurino 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marbelli CD Alhaurino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marbelli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Marbelli scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Marbelli stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

CD Alhaurino's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Marbelli VS CD Alhaurino
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Marbelli

(Home)
04 Oct
Malaga Juniors
0 : 1
Marbelli
27 Sept
Marbelli
1 : 0
Torre del Mar
20 Sept
Huetor Vega
1 : 3
Marbelli
13 Sept
Marbelli
2 : 1
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
05 Sept
Mancha
1 : 1
Marbelli
Page 1 of 6

CD Alhaurino

(Away)
04 Oct
CD Alhaurino
1 : 2
Melilla
27 Sept
Motril
2 : 0
CD Alhaurino
20 Sept
CD Alhaurino
2 : 1
Churriana de la Vega
13 Sept
Almeria B
2 : 0
CD Alhaurino
06 Sept
CD Alhaurino
0 : 0
Granada CF B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Melilla 5 5 0 0 11:3 15
2 Marbelli 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
3 Arenas Armilla 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
4 Motril 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
5 Malaga B 5 3 1 1 11:4 10
6 Almeria B 5 3 1 1 9:3 10
7 UD San Pedro 5 3 0 2 7:8 9
8 Granada CF B 5 2 1 2 7:4 7
9 Churriana de la Vega 5 2 0 3 9:9 6
10 Atletico de Porcuna 5 2 0 3 6:14 6
11 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
12 Huetor Vega 5 1 2 2 7:9 5
13 Torre del Mar 5 1 1 3 3:5 4
14 Atletico de Marbella 5 1 1 3 2:5 4
15 CD Alhaurino 5 1 1 3 3:7 4
16 Cantoria 5 0 3 2 4:7 3
17 Mancha 5 0 2 3 2:7 2
18 Malaga Juniors 5 0 0 5 3:11 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 (Play Offs)