Sport Picks
Marbelli vs Ciudad de Torredonjimeno - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 9 
Match Events
13'
13'
Munoz S.
77'
77'
Carmona K.
85'
85'
Mwale A.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 game between Marbelli and Ciudad de Torredonjimeno finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marbelli.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
30%
19%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Marbelli
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Marbelli come out ahead of Ciudad de Torredonjimeno on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Marbelli's way, sitting at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Marbelli Clean Sheet 68%
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Marbelli | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.19 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.77 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Marbelli vs Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
2:1
May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno vs Marbelli
0:2
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Marbelli vs Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
3:0
Feb 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Marbelli vs Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
2:2
Oct 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno vs Marbelli
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Marbelli Compare
Top Goalscorer Carmona K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mwale A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno Compare
Top Goalscorer Munoz S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Marbelli 68 / 100
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Marbelli Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Marbelli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Marbelli's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Marbelli has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Defensive concern: Ciudad de Torredonjimeno conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Marbelli VS Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Marbelli
(Home) 04 Oct
Malaga Juniors
0 : 1 Marbelli
27 Sept
Marbelli
1 : 0 Torre del Mar
20 Sept
Huetor Vega
1 : 3 Marbelli
13 Sept
Marbelli
2 : 1 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
05 Sept
Mancha
1 : 1 Marbelli
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Marbelli
1 : 0 Torre del Mar
13 Sept
Marbelli
2 : 1 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
03 May
Marbelli
0 : 1 Granada CF B
19 Apr
Marbelli
2 : 1 Huetor Tajar
05 Apr
Marbelli
1 : 2 Martos
Page 1 of 3
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
(Away) 04 Oct
Atletico de Marbella
0 : 1 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
27 Sept
Mancha
1 : 1 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
20 Sept
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
1 : 1 Arenas Armilla
13 Sept
Marbelli
2 : 1 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
05 Sept
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
1 : 2 Melilla
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Atletico de Marbella
0 : 1 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
27 Sept
Mancha
1 : 1 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
13 Sept
Marbelli
2 : 1 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
03 May
Mancha
1 : 2 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
19 Apr
Churriana de la Vega
1 : 0 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melilla | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11:3 | 15 |
| 2 | Marbelli | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 13 |
| 3 | Arenas Armilla | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 11 |
| 4 | Motril | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 11 |
| 5 | Malaga B | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:4 | 10 |
| 6 | Almeria B | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | 10 |
| 7 | UD San Pedro | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:8 | 9 |
| 8 | Granada CF B | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | 7 |
| 9 | Churriana de la Vega | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9:9 | 6 |
| 10 | Atletico de Porcuna | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:14 | 6 |
| 11 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 12 | Huetor Vega | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | 5 |
| 13 | Torre del Mar | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 14 | Atletico de Marbella | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:5 | 4 |
| 15 | CD Alhaurino | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | 4 |
| 16 | Cantoria | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 17 | Mancha | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:7 | 2 |
| 18 | Malaga Juniors | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3:11 | 0 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 (Play Offs)
