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Marbelli vs Martos

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Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Gato
58' Event
Sako S.
83' Event
Colmenero A.

AI Match Summary

Martos in this Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Martos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Marbelli
20%
Draws
23%
Martos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Marbelli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Martos haven't matched Marbelli's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Marbelli a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Marbelli Clean Sheet 68%
Martos Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marbelli Martos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Marbelli vs Martos
1:2
Nov 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Martos vs Marbelli
1:1
Mar 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Martos vs Marbelli
0:0
Oct 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Marbelli vs Martos
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marbelli Compare

Top Goalscorer Gato
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Martos Compare

Top Goalscorer Sako S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Colmenero A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marbelli 95 / 100
Martos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marbelli Martos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marbelli scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Martos conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Marbelli stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marbelli VS Martos
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Marbelli

(Home)
10 May
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
0 : 2
Marbelli
03 May
Marbelli
0 : 1
Granada CF B
26 Apr
Huetor Vega
1 : 1
Marbelli
19 Apr
Marbelli
2 : 1
Huetor Tajar
11 Apr
Melilla B
0 : 1
Marbelli
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Martos

(Away)
10 May
Huetor Vega
4 : 0
Martos
03 May
Martos
1 : 0
Huetor Tajar
25 Apr
Melilla B
5 : 1
Martos
19 Apr
Motril
2 : 0
Martos
12 Apr
Martos
0 : 0
Mijas Las Lagunas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mijas Las Lagunas 34 19 9 6 46:24 66
2 Motril 34 18 11 5 55:29 65
3 Torre del Mar 34 14 13 7 37:26 55
4 Arenas Armilla 34 15 9 10 38:29 54
5 Churriana de la Vega 34 14 10 10 32:40 52
6 Marbelli 34 14 9 11 36:28 51
7 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 34 13 11 10 39:38 50
8 UD San Pedro 34 13 10 11 39:37 49
9 Atletico de Porcuna 34 14 4 16 41:39 46
10 Huetor Vega 34 12 9 13 43:42 45
11 Granada CF B 34 10 14 10 49:47 44
12 CD Alhaurino 34 11 10 13 41:41 43
13 Melilla B 34 9 12 13 30:32 39
14 Mancha 34 9 10 15 30:38 37
15 Huetor Tajar 34 9 10 15 40:44 37
16 Martos 34 9 10 15 32:48 37
17 CD Torreperogil 34 9 6 19 24:45 33
18 El Palo 34 6 9 19 28:53 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 2025/2026 (Play Offs)