Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Marchamalo vs Albacete B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Gomez F. J. P.
34' Event
Garcia S.
43' Event
Rubio A.

AI Match Summary

Marchamalo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Marchamalo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Marchamalo
20%
Draws
28%
Albacete B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Marchamalo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Albacete B have won more games recently than Marchamalo.
  • Marchamalo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Marchamalo Clean Sheet 68%
Albacete B Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marchamalo Albacete B
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 15 16
Draws 4 9
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.29 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Marchamalo vs Albacete B
2:1
Oct 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Albacete B vs Marchamalo
2:1
Apr 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Marchamalo vs Albacete B
1:1
Nov 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Albacete B vs Marchamalo
2:1
Mar 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Albacete B vs Marchamalo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marchamalo Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rubio A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Albacete B Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez F. J. P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marchamalo 95 / 100
Albacete B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marchamalo Albacete B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marchamalo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Marchamalo stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Marchamalo's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Albacete B has conceded goals in 38% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Marchamalo VS Albacete B
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Marchamalo

(Home)
20 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 2
CD Guadalajara B
13 Sept
Huracan de Balazote
0 : 2
Marchamalo
05 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 0
CD Villa
30 Aug
Marchamalo
2 : 0
Union Adarve
18 Aug
Marchamalo
1 : 0
Guadalajara
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Albacete B

(Away)
20 Sept
Valladolid Promesas
6 : 1
Albacete B
12 Sept
Albacete B
4 : 3
Atletico Tordesillas
06 Sept
Real Madrid C
0 : 0
Albacete B
22 Aug
Albacete B
0 : 1
Ilicitano
21 Jun
Albacete B
2 : 0
Leioa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puertollano C.F. 34 22 8 4 54:21 74
2 CD Tarancon 34 22 7 5 62:25 73
3 Toledo 34 19 11 4 55:17 68
4 Albacete B 34 17 13 4 49:17 64
5 Manchego Ciudad Real 34 18 7 9 52:29 61
6 Villarrubia 34 15 8 11 42:35 53
7 Villacanas 34 12 12 10 29:26 48
8 San Clemente 34 12 11 11 36:44 47
9 CD Guadalajara B 34 11 10 13 30:37 43
10 Villarrobledo 34 10 13 11 30:36 43
11 Huracan de Balazote 34 12 5 17 33:45 41
12 Illescas 34 8 13 13 21:32 37
13 Marchamalo 34 10 7 17 38:47 37
14 La Solana 34 8 11 15 26:38 35
15 Azuqueca 34 7 13 14 34:39 34
16 CD Pedroneras 34 7 12 15 28:43 33
17 Sonseca 34 5 7 22 28:69 22
18 Cazalegas 34 4 6 24 17:64 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)