Sport Picks
Marchamalo vs CD Tarancon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 18 
Match Events
3'
3'
Redondo J.
45'
45'
Ouedraogo Y.
59'
59'
Redondo J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 18 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Marchamalo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- CD Tarancon have won more games recently than Marchamalo.
- Model gives Marchamalo a 42% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors CD Tarancon here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Marchamalo Clean Sheet 20%
CD Tarancon Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Marchamalo | CD Tarancon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 31 |
| Wins | 16 | 18 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.44 | 1.58 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.15 | 0.84 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Marchamalo vs CD Tarancon
2:2
Apr 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Marchamalo vs CD Tarancon
0:1
Dec 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Tarancon vs Marchamalo
2:1
Feb 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Marchamalo vs CD Tarancon
2:3
Sep 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
CD Tarancon vs Marchamalo
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Marchamalo Compare
Top Goalscorer Redondo J.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
CD Tarancon Compare
Top Goalscorer Ouedraogo Y.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Marchamalo 42 / 100
CD Tarancon 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Marchamalo CD Tarancon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Marchamalo scored in 76% of their last 34 games.
Defensive concern: CD Tarancon conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.
Marchamalo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Marchamalo VS CD Tarancon
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Marchamalo
(Home) 03 Oct
Marchamalo
2 : 2 CD Tarancon
27 Sept
Manchego Ciudad Real
3 : 2 Marchamalo
20 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 2 CD Guadalajara B
13 Sept
Huracan de Balazote
0 : 2 Marchamalo
05 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 0 CD Villa
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Marchamalo
2 : 2 CD Tarancon
20 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 2 CD Guadalajara B
05 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 0 CD Villa
30 Aug
Marchamalo
2 : 0 Union Adarve
18 Aug
Marchamalo
1 : 0 Guadalajara
Page 1 of 4
CD Tarancon
(Away) 03 Oct
Marchamalo
2 : 2 CD Tarancon
26 Sept
CD Guadalajara B
2 : 6 CD Tarancon
19 Sept
CD Tarancon
2 : 1 CD Villa
13 Sept
Torrijos
1 : 0 CD Tarancon
05 Sept
CD Tarancon
0 : 1 Illescas
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Marchamalo
2 : 2 CD Tarancon
26 Sept
CD Guadalajara B
2 : 6 CD Tarancon
13 Sept
Torrijos
1 : 0 CD Tarancon
30 Aug
CD Las Rozas
0 : 0 CD Tarancon
17 May
Manchego Ciudad Real
0 : 0 CD Tarancon
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchego Ciudad Real | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 15 |
| 2 | Villarrobledo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:1 | 11 |
| 3 | Illescas | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 11 |
| 4 | Torrijos | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 11 |
| 5 | Toledo | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 10 |
| 6 | CD Villa | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6:4 | 9 |
| 7 | Marchamalo | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:7 | 8 |
| 8 | CD Tarancon | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 7 |
| 9 | UD Almansa | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 7 |
| 10 | Villacanas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 11 | Noblejas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | 7 |
| 12 | San Clemente | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:11 | 5 |
| 13 | Socuellamos | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 14 | La Solana | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 15 | Villarrubia | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:9 | 3 |
| 16 | CD Guadalajara B | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | 2 |
| 17 | Quintanar del Rey | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:11 | 2 |
| 18 | Huracan de Balazote | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:14 | 0 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)
