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Marchamalo vs Guadalajara Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Marchamalo and Guadalajara finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marchamalo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Marchamalo
15%
Draws
20%
Guadalajara
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marchamalo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Marchamalo come out ahead of Guadalajara on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Marchamalo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Marchamalo Clean Sheet 20%
Guadalajara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marchamalo Guadalajara
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 7
Draws 4 6
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.31 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Marchamalo vs Guadalajara
1:0
Aug 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Marchamalo vs Guadalajara
0:0
Aug 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Marchamalo vs Guadalajara
2:3
Aug 23, 2023 Club Friendly
Guadalajara vs Marchamalo
2:3
Mar 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Marchamalo vs Guadalajara
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marchamalo 85 / 100
Guadalajara 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marchamalo Guadalajara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marchamalo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guadalajara let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Marchamalo scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Marchamalo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marchamalo VS Guadalajara
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Marchamalo

(Home)
27 Sept
Manchego Ciudad Real
3 : 2
Marchamalo
20 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 2
CD Guadalajara B
13 Sept
Huracan de Balazote
0 : 2
Marchamalo
05 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 0
CD Villa
30 Aug
Marchamalo
2 : 0
Union Adarve
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Guadalajara

(Away)
27 Sept
Numancia
1 : 0
Guadalajara
13 Sept
Guadalajara
2 : 1
RSD Alcala
06 Sept
Guadalajara
2 : 3
Salamanca CF UDS
29 Aug
Conquense
4 : 1
Guadalajara
18 Aug
Marchamalo
1 : 0
Guadalajara
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