Sport Picks
Marchamalo vs Manchego Ciudad Real Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 
Match Events
40'
40'
Rodriguez R.
51'
51'
Flores D.
70'
70'
Paulinho
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manchego Ciudad Real
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Manchego Ciudad Real lately — more wins on the board than Marchamalo.
- Model gives Marchamalo a 39% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Marchamalo Clean Sheet 68%
Manchego Ciudad Real Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Marchamalo | Manchego Ciudad Real |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 13 | 18 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 0.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 27, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Manchego Ciudad Real vs Marchamalo
3:2
Mar 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Marchamalo vs Manchego Ciudad Real
2:2
Oct 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Manchego Ciudad Real vs Marchamalo
2:1
Mar 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Marchamalo vs Manchego Ciudad Real
1:0
Oct 19, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Manchego Ciudad Real vs Marchamalo
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Marchamalo Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodriguez R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rubio A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Manchego Ciudad Real Compare
Top Goalscorer Flores D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Paulinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Marchamalo 59 / 100
Manchego Ciudad Real 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Marchamalo Manchego Ciudad Real
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Marchamalo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Marchamalo's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Marchamalo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Manchego Ciudad Real let in goals in 44% of their last 32 matches.
Scoring Trends
Marchamalo VS Manchego Ciudad Real
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Marchamalo
(Home) 27 Sept
Manchego Ciudad Real
3 : 2 Marchamalo
20 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 2 CD Guadalajara B
13 Sept
Huracan de Balazote
0 : 2 Marchamalo
05 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 0 CD Villa
30 Aug
Marchamalo
2 : 0 Union Adarve
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 2 CD Guadalajara B
05 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 0 CD Villa
30 Aug
Marchamalo
2 : 0 Union Adarve
18 Aug
Marchamalo
1 : 0 Guadalajara
03 May
Marchamalo
0 : 4 Azuqueca
Page 1 of 3
Manchego Ciudad Real
(Away) 27 Sept
Manchego Ciudad Real
3 : 2 Marchamalo
20 Sept
Huracan de Balazote
0 : 1 Manchego Ciudad Real
12 Sept
Manchego Ciudad Real
2 : 0 Villacanas
05 Sept
La Solana
0 : 1 Manchego Ciudad Real
06 Jun
Albacete B
3 : 0 Manchego Ciudad Real
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Huracan de Balazote
0 : 1 Manchego Ciudad Real
05 Sept
La Solana
0 : 1 Manchego Ciudad Real
06 Jun
Albacete B
3 : 0 Manchego Ciudad Real
23 May
CD Tarancon
0 : 1 Manchego Ciudad Real
10 May
Illescas
0 : 0 Manchego Ciudad Real
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Puertollano C.F. | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 54:21 | 74 |
| 2 | CD Tarancon | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 62:25 | 73 |
| 3 | Toledo | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 55:17 | 68 |
| 4 | Albacete B | 34 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 49:17 | 64 |
| 5 | Manchego Ciudad Real | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:29 | 61 |
| 6 | Villarrubia | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 42:35 | 53 |
| 7 | Villacanas | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 29:26 | 48 |
| 8 | San Clemente | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 36:44 | 47 |
| 9 | CD Guadalajara B | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 30:37 | 43 |
| 10 | Villarrobledo | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 30:36 | 43 |
| 11 | Huracan de Balazote | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 33:45 | 41 |
| 12 | Illescas | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 21:32 | 37 |
| 13 | Marchamalo | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 38:47 | 37 |
| 14 | La Solana | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 26:38 | 35 |
| 15 | Azuqueca | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 34:39 | 34 |
| 16 | CD Pedroneras | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 28:43 | 33 |
| 17 | Sonseca | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 28:69 | 22 |
| 18 | Cazalegas | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 17:64 | 18 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
