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Marchamalo vs Torrijos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Cabo O.
54' Event
Pomares K.

AI Match Summary

Marchamalo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Marchamalo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Marchamalo
35%
Draws
38%
Torrijos
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Torrijos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Torrijos haven't matched Marchamalo's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Marchamalo taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Marchamalo Clean Sheet 20%
Torrijos Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marchamalo Torrijos
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 16 8
Draws 5 11
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.45 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Torrijos vs Marchamalo
0:3
Jan 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Marchamalo vs Torrijos
2:0
Mar 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Torrijos vs Marchamalo
0:3
Nov 20, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Marchamalo vs Torrijos
1:1
Mar 21, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Torrijos vs Marchamalo
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marchamalo Compare

Top Goalscorer Cabo O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pomares K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.34

Torrijos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marchamalo 36 / 100
Torrijos 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marchamalo Torrijos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marchamalo scored in 76% of their last 33 games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Marchamalo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Torrijos let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Marchamalo VS Torrijos
1 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.33
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Marchamalo

(Home)
03 Oct
Marchamalo
2 : 2
CD Tarancon
27 Sept
Manchego Ciudad Real
3 : 2
Marchamalo
20 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 2
CD Guadalajara B
13 Sept
Huracan de Balazote
0 : 2
Marchamalo
05 Sept
Marchamalo
2 : 0
CD Villa
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Torrijos

(Away)
04 Oct
Villarrubia
1 : 1
Torrijos
27 Sept
Torrijos
2 : 0
Quintanar del Rey
20 Sept
Socuellamos
1 : 1
Torrijos
13 Sept
Torrijos
1 : 0
CD Tarancon
05 Sept
CD Guadalajara B
0 : 1
Torrijos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Conquense 34 21 10 3 57:18 73
2 Cazalegas 34 17 8 9 48:35 59
3 Toledo 34 16 10 8 47:25 58
4 Socuellamos 34 15 13 6 48:28 58
5 Quintanar del Rey 34 16 9 9 46:29 57
6 Puertollano C.F. 34 15 11 8 48:33 56
7 Villarrubia 34 15 10 9 36:31 55
8 CD Tarancon 34 11 14 9 38:31 47
9 Albacete B 34 12 10 12 47:49 46
10 Azuqueca 34 10 11 13 40:46 41
11 Villacanas 34 10 11 13 34:36 41
12 Villarrobledo 34 10 11 13 28:37 41
13 Marchamalo 34 10 9 15 27:38 39
14 Huracan de Balazote 34 8 15 11 35:47 39
15 La Solana 34 10 9 15 34:39 39
16 Torrijos 34 5 13 16 23:45 28
17 Tomelloso 34 5 11 18 24:55 26
18 San Clemente 34 4 7 23 28:66 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 18 2023/2024 (Play Offs)