Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Marcilio Dias vs Avai B

Brazil Brazil

Copa Santa Catarina 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-1, with Marcilio Dias advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Marcilio Dias
35%
Draws
26%
Avai B
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Marcilio Dias

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Marcilio Dias carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Marcilio Dias are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Marcilio Dias have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Marcilio Dias, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Marcilio Dias have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Marcilio Dias Clean Sheet 20%
Avai B Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marcilio Dias Avai B
Matches Played 34 16
Wins 16 7
Draws 8 3
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.24 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 10, 2019 Copa Santa Catarina
Marcilio Dias vs Avai B
4:1
Nov 5, 2019 Copa Santa Catarina
Avai B vs Marcilio Dias
1:0
Oct 27, 2019 Copa Santa Catarina
Marcilio Dias vs Avai B
1:0
Sep 11, 2019 Copa Santa Catarina
Avai B vs Marcilio Dias
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marcilio Dias 58 / 100
Avai B 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marcilio Dias Avai B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marcilio Dias Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avai B let in goals in 88% of their last 16 matches.

Marcilio Dias's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Marcilio Dias remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Marcilio Dias VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Marcilio Dias

(Home)
11 Jul
Portuguesa
2 : 0
Marcilio Dias
04 Jul
Marcilio Dias
1 : 1
Portuguesa
28 Jun
Marcilio Dias
2 : 1
FC Cascavel
21 Jun
FC Cascavel
2 : 2
Marcilio Dias
07 Jun
Sao Joseense
0 : 0
Marcilio Dias
Page 1 of 7

Avai B

(Away)
10 Nov
Marcilio Dias
4 : 1
Avai B
05 Nov
Avai B
1 : 0
Marcilio Dias
31 Oct
Avai B
1 : 1
Almirante Barroso
27 Oct
Marcilio Dias
1 : 0
Avai B
23 Oct
Avai B
0 : 2
Tubarao
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Tubarao 2
Brusque 4
Avai B 2
Marcilio Dias 4
Final
Brusque 3
Marcilio Dias 2