Sport Picks
Marcilio Dias vs Barra FC (Santa Catarina) - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Copa Santa Catarina 
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 6-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Barra FC (Santa Catarina) have shipped 1.03 goals a game lately, while Marcilio Dias have conceded 1 and scored 1.43. Past meetings favor Marcilio Dias slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 22, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.19) point toward Marcilio Dias. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Marcilio Dias come out ahead of Barra FC (Santa Catarina) on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Marcilio Dias's way, sitting at 70%.
- Marcilio Dias have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Marcilio Dias, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Marcilio Dias | Barra FC (Santa Catarina) |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 13 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 8 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.06 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Marcilio Dias's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: Barra FC (Santa Catarina) conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.
Recent resilience: Marcilio Dias stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Marcilio Dias
(Home)Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Figueirense | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 13 |
| 2 | Joinville | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13:8 | 12 |
| 3 | Marcilio Dias | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15:9 | 11 |
| 4 | Hercilio Luz | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:9 | 9 |
| 5 | Santa Catarina | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | 7 |
| 6 | CA Metropolitano | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 7 | Barra FC (Santa Catarina) | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7:8 | 3 |
| 8 | Nacao | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6:12 | 3 |
| 9 | Blumenau | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:6 | 2 |
