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Marcilio Dias vs Fluminense-SC

Brazil Brazil

Copa Santa Catarina 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with Marcilio Dias advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Marcilio Dias
30%
Draws
34%
Fluminense-SC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Marcilio Dias

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Marcilio Dias come out ahead of Fluminense-SC on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Marcilio Dias taking it.
  • Marcilio Dias have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Marcilio Dias, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Marcilio Dias Clean Sheet 20%
Fluminense-SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marcilio Dias Fluminense-SC
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 0.86 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.86 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.14 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2019 Copa Santa Catarina
Marcilio Dias vs Fluminense-SC
4:0
Sep 7, 2019 Copa Santa Catarina
Fluminense-SC vs Marcilio Dias
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marcilio Dias 36 / 100
Fluminense-SC 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marcilio Dias Fluminense-SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fluminense-SC let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Marcilio Dias scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Marcilio Dias stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marcilio Dias VS Fluminense-SC
0.86 Goals Scored 0.63
1.14 Goals Conceded 1.5
71% Over 1.5 38%
29% Over 2.5 25%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Marcilio Dias

(Home)
11 Jul
Portuguesa
2 : 0
Marcilio Dias
04 Jul
Marcilio Dias
1 : 1
Portuguesa
28 Jun
Marcilio Dias
2 : 1
FC Cascavel
21 Jun
FC Cascavel
2 : 2
Marcilio Dias
07 Jun
Sao Joseense
0 : 0
Marcilio Dias
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Fluminense-SC

(Away)
22 Jul
Fluminense-SC
2 : 1
Tubarao
19 Jul
Gremio Juventus
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
15 Jul
Fluminense-SC
1 : 1
Guarani de Palhoca
12 Jul
Nacao
1 : 2
Fluminense-SC
04 Jul
Fluminense-SC
1 : 1
Blumenau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Marcilio Dias14102222:1032
2Brusque1474326:1725
3Tubarao1466220:1324
4Avai B1463522:2221
5Fluminense-SC1445525:2417
6Joinville1443717:2115
7Figueirense B1424814:2410
8Almirante Barroso141589:248
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina 2019 (Play Offs)