Sport Picks
Marcilio Dias vs Portuguesa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Serie D Estádio Doutor Hercílio Luz, Itajaí 
Match Events
4'
4'
Igor Torres
15'
15'
Davi Torres
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Portuguesa carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Marcilio Dias a 40% chance of winning this.
- Portuguesa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Marcilio Dias Clean Sheet 68%
Portuguesa Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Marcilio Dias | Portuguesa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 16 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 0.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 11, 2026 Serie D
Portuguesa vs Marcilio Dias
2:0
Jul 4, 2026 Serie D
Marcilio Dias vs Portuguesa
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Marcilio Dias Compare
Top Goalscorer Davi Torres
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Portuguesa Compare
Top Goalscorer Igor Torres
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Marcilio Dias 50 / 100
Portuguesa 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Marcilio Dias Portuguesa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Marcilio Dias Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Marcilio Dias scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Portuguesa conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Marcilio Dias remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Marcilio Dias VS Portuguesa
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Marcilio Dias
(Home) 26 Sept
Blumenau
1 : 1 Marcilio Dias
19 Sept
Marcilio Dias
4 : 2 Hercilio Luz
13 Sept
Santa Catarina
2 : 1 Marcilio Dias
07 Sept
CA Metropolitano
2 : 5 Marcilio Dias
30 Aug
Marcilio Dias
4 : 2 Joinville
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Marcilio Dias
4 : 2 Hercilio Luz
30 Aug
Marcilio Dias
4 : 2 Joinville
04 Jul
Marcilio Dias
1 : 1 Portuguesa
28 Jun
Marcilio Dias
2 : 1 FC Cascavel
01 Jun
Marcilio Dias
0 : 1 Azuriz
Page 1 of 3
Portuguesa
(Away) 25 Jul
Portuguesa
1 : 0 Uberlandia
18 Jul
Uberlandia
2 : 0 Portuguesa
11 Jul
Portuguesa
2 : 0 Marcilio Dias
04 Jul
Marcilio Dias
1 : 1 Portuguesa
27 Jun
Portuguesa
1 : 0 Sampaio Correa FE
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Uberlandia
2 : 0 Portuguesa
04 Jul
Marcilio Dias
1 : 1 Portuguesa
20 Jun
Sampaio Correa FE
1 : 1 Portuguesa
30 May
Pouso Alegre
1 : 2 Portuguesa
09 May
Madureira
1 : 0 Portuguesa
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube 1
Manauara 3
Brasiliense 0
Goiatuba EC 1
Imperatriz 2
Maracana 1
Central SC 1
Ferroviario 3
America RJ 1
Piracicaba 3
Sao Joseense 1
Cianorte 2
ASA 2
Sergipe 1
Ivinhema 4
Democrata GV 2
Portuguesa RJ 4
Noroeste 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Santa Catarina 2
Jacuipense 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 1
Tombense 0
Fluminense-PI 0
America RN 4
Sampaio Correa 2
Trem 3
Sao Raimundo RR 2
Porto Velho 3
Mixto 1
Gama 3
Serra Branca 3
Juazeirense 0
Rio Branco ES 2
Uberlandia 4
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Portuguesa 2
FC Cascavel 3
Marcilio Dias 4
Sao Luiz 3
Blumenau 2
Velo Clube 2
Agua Santa 1
Lagarto 1
CSA 3
Vitoria ES 1
Betim FC 2
Araguaina 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
Aparecidense 1
Capital 5
Tuna Luso 2
Iguatu 3
Maguary 2
Piaui 1
Monte Roraima 3
Guapore 4
Ceilandia 2
Luverdense 3
Parnahyba 2
Aguia De Maraba 3
AE Altos 1
ABC 2
1/16-finals
Manauara 2
Goiatuba EC 3
Imperatriz 1
Ferroviario 4
Piracicaba 0
Cianorte 4
ASA 6
Ivinhema 1
Portuguesa RJ 0
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 2
America RN 6
Trem 2
Porto Velho 2
Gama 3
Serra Branca 2
Uberlandia 3
Portuguesa 3
Marcilio Dias 1
Sao Luiz 4
Velo Clube 3
CSA 4
Betim FC 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 2
Capital 1
Iguatu 5
Maguary 3
Guapore 0
Luverdense 1
Aguia De Maraba 2
ABC 4
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC 5
Ferroviario 1
Cianorte 1
ASA 6
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Treze PB 2
America RN 3
Gama 4
Uberlandia 2
Portuguesa 1
Sao Luiz 1
CSA 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 3
Iguatu 2
Luverdense 1
ABC 4
Quarter-finals
Goiatuba EC 1
ASA 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Gama 5
Uberlandia 3
CSA 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
ABC 3
Semi-finals
ASA 2
Gama 0
Uberlandia 2
ABC 1
Final
ASA 1
Uberlandia 3
