Sport Picks
Marcilio Dias vs Santa Catarina
Brazil
Catarinense Estádio Doutor Hercílio Luz 
AI Match Summary
Marcilio Dias play Santa Catarina in the Catarinense. It looks like a close match. Recently, Marcilio Dias averaged 1.24 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. Santa Catarina averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Marcilio Dias won 1, Santa Catarina won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 15, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Marcilio Dias and 1.06 for Santa Catarina. This points to a Marcilio Dias double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Marcilio Dias picked up more points recently compared to Santa Catarina.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 1.06 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Marcilio Dias | Santa Catarina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 0.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Marcilio Dias Compare
Santa Catarina Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Marcilio Dias scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
Santa Catarina let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Marcilio Dias went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Santa Catarina lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brusque | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:6 | 12 |
| 2 | Avai | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 10 |
| 3 | Camboriu | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:6 | 9 |
| 4 | Concordia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:10 | 7 |
| 5 | Marcilio Dias | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:6 | 6 |
| 6 | Joinville | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:14 | 1 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santa Catarina | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10:5 | 12 |
| 2 | Chapecoense-SC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 11 |
| 3 | Criciuma | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 4 | Barra FC (Santa Catarina) | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 5 | Figueirense | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | 7 |
| 6 | Carlos Renaux | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:8 | 4 |