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Marcilio Dias W vs AJAP W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense Women
Marcilio Dias W Logo

Marcilio Dias W

Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
AJAP W Logo

AJAP W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Marcilio Dias W host AJAP W in the Catarinense Women. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. AJAP W have shipped 2.22 goals a game lately, while Marcilio Dias W have conceded 2.11 and scored 1.41. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.17 - 1.29) back Marcilio Dias W to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Marcilio Dias W
15%
Draws
46%
AJAP W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AJAP W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Marcilio Dias W have won more games recently than AJAP W.
  • Win probability leans Marcilio Dias W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Catarinense Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Marcilio Dias W Clean Sheet 19%
AJAP W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marcilio Dias W AJAP W
Matches Played 27 9
Wins 12 2
Draws 1 1
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.41 0.78
Goals Conceded 2.11 2.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marcilio Dias W 85 / 100
AJAP W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marcilio Dias W AJAP W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marcilio Dias W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marcilio Dias W found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).

AJAP W has conceded goals in 78% of their last 9 outings.

Recent resilience: Marcilio Dias W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: AJAP W has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Marcilio Dias W VS AJAP W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.2
75% Over 1.5 80%
50% Over 2.5 40%
25% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Marcilio Dias W

(Home)
10 Oct
Marcilio Dias W
0 : 2
Meninas de Jaragua W
03 Oct
Marcilio Dias W
2 : 0
Avai Kindermann W
27 Sept
Paysandu-SC W
1 : 3
Marcilio Dias W
12 Oct
Avai Kindermann W
3 : 0
Marcilio Dias W
28 Sept
Marcilio Dias W
0 : 1
Avai Kindermann W
Page 1 of 6

AJAP W

(Away)
11 Oct
Avai Kindermann W
0 : 2
AJAP W
26 Sept
AJAP W
0 : 0
Meninas de Jaragua W
12 Sept
Criciuma W
3 : 1
AJAP W
05 Oct
AJAP W
3 : 1
Floresta-SC W
29 Sept
Tunense W
2 : 0
AJAP W
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Meninas de Jaragua W 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
2 Criciuma W 2 2 0 0 13:1 6
3 Marcilio Dias W 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
4 AJAP W 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
5 Avai Kindermann W 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
6 Paysandu-SC W 3 0 0 3 2:16 0
Promotion - Catarinense Women (Play Offs)