Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mardin 1969 vs Arguvan

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Aktas Y.
90' Event
Kose S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Mardin 1969
20%
Draws
22%
Arguvan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mardin 1969

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Arguvan haven't matched Mardin 1969's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Mardin 1969 a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Mardin 1969 Clean Sheet 68%
Arguvan Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mardin 1969 Arguvan
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 19 5
Draws 7 3
Losses 9 22
Goals Scored 1.54 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.74 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2024 3. Lig Group 1
Mardin 1969 vs Arguvan
1:1
Oct 15, 2023 3. Lig Group 1
Arguvan vs Mardin 1969
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mardin 1969 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kose S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Arguvan Compare

Top Goalscorer Aktas Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mardin 1969 95 / 100
Arguvan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mardin 1969 Arguvan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mardin 1969 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arguvan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

Mardin 1969's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Mardin 1969 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mardin 1969 VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mardin 1969

(Home)
13 Sept
Igdir FK
1 : 0
Mardin 1969
07 Sept
Mardin 1969
1 : 0
Bodrumspor
02 Sept
Sivasspor
2 : 2
Mardin 1969
29 Aug
Mardin 1969
1 : 1
Vanspor FK
23 Aug
Boluspor
0 : 3
Mardin 1969
Page 1 of 7

Arguvan

(Away)
27 Apr
Arguvan
3 : 4
Erciyes 38
21 Apr
Karabuk Idmanyurdu
2 : 5
Arguvan
14 Apr
Arguvan
1 : 5
Inegol Kafkas
07 Apr
Edirnespor Genclik
2 : 1
Arguvan
03 Apr
Arguvan
2 : 4
Kepez Bld.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kepez Bld. 28 22 4 2 67:18 70
2 Aliaga 28 19 9 0 60:18 66
3 Ayvalikgucu 28 15 7 6 40:25 52
4 52 Orduspor 28 14 7 7 40:28 49
5 Inegol Kafkas 28 13 8 7 37:30 47
6 Edirnespor Genclik 28 13 5 10 45:28 44
7 Mardin 1969 28 12 5 11 40:34 41
8 Kucukcekmece 28 10 8 10 41:31 38
9 Karabuk Idmanyurdu 28 10 5 13 27:44 35
10 Hopaspor 28 9 7 12 33:29 34
11 Erciyes 38 28 10 4 14 34:45 34
12 Kirikkale FK 28 8 5 15 31:42 29
13 Gumushanespor 28 4 10 14 25:49 22
14 Arguvan 28 3 4 21 21:57 13
15 Tarsus 28 2 4 22 20:83 10
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)