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Stadium Background

Mardin 1969 vs Kayserispor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig 21 Kasım Stadyumu, Mardin
Our Tip

Match Events

40'
Saglam G.
58'
Sub
Kayode O. In: Yildirim O.
Out: Kayode O.
58'
Sub
Denic D. In: Balat B.
Out: Denic D.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Lig game between Mardin 1969 and Kayserispor finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kayserispor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Mardin 1969
30%
Draws
51%
Kayserispor
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kayserispor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Mardin 1969 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Kayserispor a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Mardin 1969 Clean Sheet 19%
Kayserispor Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mardin 1969 Kayserispor
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.18
Goals Conceded 0.57 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 1. Lig
Mardin 1969 vs Kayserispor
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mardin 1969 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Kayserispor Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mardin 1969 24 / 100
Kayserispor 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mardin 1969 Kayserispor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kayserispor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mardin 1969's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Kayserispor let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Mardin 1969 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Mardin 1969 VS Kayserispor
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mardin 1969

(Home)
20 Sept
Mardin 1969
0 : 1
Kayserispor
13 Sept
Igdir FK
1 : 0
Mardin 1969
07 Sept
Mardin 1969
1 : 0
Bodrumspor
02 Sept
Sivasspor
2 : 2
Mardin 1969
29 Aug
Mardin 1969
1 : 1
Vanspor FK
Page 1 of 6

Kayserispor

(Away)
10 Oct
Kayserispor
3 : 2
Manisa FK
20 Sept
Mardin 1969
0 : 1
Kayserispor
14 Sept
Kayserispor
4 : 0
Istanbulspor AS
07 Sept
Erokspor
0 : 3
Kayserispor
02 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1
Kayserispor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kayserispor 9 7 1 1 18:5 22
2 Bursaspor 8 6 1 1 16:7 19
3 Igdir FK 9 6 1 2 14:8 19
4 Keciorengucu 9 4 4 1 19:10 16
5 Batman Petrolspor 9 5 1 3 16:15 16
6 Antalyaspor 9 5 0 4 15:13 15
7 Sariyer 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
8 Bandirmaspor 9 3 4 2 14:5 13
9 Mardin 1969 8 3 3 2 9:5 12
10 F. Karagumruk 8 3 3 2 12:11 12
11 Sivasspor 9 2 5 2 13:12 11
12 Muglaspor 8 2 5 1 8:7 11
13 Pendikspor 9 2 4 3 11:17 10
14 Manisa FK 9 2 3 4 14:15 9
15 Bodrumspor 9 1 5 3 7:8 8
16 Erokspor 9 1 5 3 5:10 8
17 Umraniyespor 9 1 4 4 7:10 7
18 Istanbulspor AS 9 1 2 6 7:20 5
19 Vanspor FK 9 1 3 5 8:19 4
20 Boluspor 9 0 1 8 3:21 1
Promotion - Super Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)