Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Marek in this Third League - South-West 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Marek.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marek
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Marek have won more games recently than Germaneya.
- 57% — that's where the model lands on Marek taking it.
- Regular Third League - South-West 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Marek here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Marek Clean Sheet 20%
Germaneya Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Marek | Germaneya |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 4 |
| Draws | 9 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 1.04 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.19 | 2.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.90 | 1.08 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 6, 2019 Third League - South-West
Marek vs Germaneya
3:1
Sep 22, 2018 Third League - South-West
Germaneya vs Marek
0:1
Mar 14, 2018 Third League - South-West
Marek vs Germaneya
0:2
Aug 19, 2017 Third League - South-West
Germaneya vs Marek
1:4
Mar 22, 2017 Third League - South-West
Germaneya vs Marek
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Marek 85 / 100
Germaneya 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Marek Germaneya
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Marek Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Germaneya has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.
Marek scored in 67% of their last 27 games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Germaneya lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Marek VS Germaneya
1.13 Goals Scored 1.17
1 Goals Conceded 2.67
75% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 67%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Marek
(Home) 07 Aug
Etar
1 : 0 Marek
01 Aug
Spartak Pleven
2 : 1 Marek
25 Jul
Fratria
0 : 1 Marek
18 Jul
Vihren
1 : 0 Marek
11 Jul
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0 : 2 Marek
Page 1 of 6
23 May
Marek
1 : 0 Etar
11 May
Marek
3 : 0 Chernomorets 1919
25 Apr
Marek
2 : 1 Belasitsa Petrich
10 Apr
Marek
1 : 0 Vihren
29 Mar
Marek
0 : 0 Spartak Pleven
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Germaneya
(Away) 30 May
Oborishte Panagyurishte
5 : 1 Germaneya
21 May
Germaneya
0 : 2 Pirin Razlog
14 May
Bansko
3 : 1 Germaneya
09 May
Germaneya
3 : 4 Gotse Delchev
02 May
Botev Ihtiman
1 : 2 Germaneya
Page 1 of 6
30 May
Oborishte Panagyurishte
5 : 1 Germaneya
14 May
Bansko
3 : 1 Germaneya
02 May
Botev Ihtiman
1 : 2 Germaneya
16 Apr
Levski Sofia II
3 : 1 Germaneya
04 Apr
Slivnishki Geroy
1 : 0 Germaneya
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hebar | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 73:19 | 90 |
| 2 | Oborishte Panagyurishte | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 60:27 | 75 |
| 3 | Vihren | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 52:35 | 62 |
| 4 | Bansko | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 56:37 | 58 |
| 5 | Slivnishki Geroy | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 60:35 | 57 |
| 6 | Minyor Pernik | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 57:37 | 56 |
| 7 | Pirin Razlog | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 47:35 | 49 |
| 8 | Rilski Sportist | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47:42 | 46 |
| 9 | Belasitsa Petrich | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 43:37 | 44 |
| 10 | Septemvri Simitli | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 34:36 | 42 |
| 11 | Chavdar Etropole | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54:47 | 41 |
| 12 | Marek | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 35:37 | 41 |
| 13 | Balkan Botevgrad | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 41:57 | 38 |
| 14 | Nadezhda Dobroslavci | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:61 | 38 |
| 15 | Svoge | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 45:61 | 37 |
| 16 | Botev Ihtiman | 34 | 10 | 2 | 22 | 35:75 | 32 |
| 17 | Germaneya | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 36:70 | 30 |
| 18 | Velbazhd | 34 | 2 | 5 | 27 | 22:89 | 11 |
Promotion - Vtora liga 2019/2020 (Main)
