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Marek vs Krumovgrad

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga 2025/2026 Stadion Bonchuk, Dupnitsa
Sat, Mar 14, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Marek host Krumovgrad in the Vtora liga 2025/2026. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Marek at 0.93 goals for, 0.89 against; Krumovgrad at 3.25 for, 0.88 against. Head-to-head, Marek have won 0 to Krumovgrad's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.00 - 2.25) back Krumovgrad to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Marek
15%
Draws
58%
Krumovgrad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Krumovgrad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Marek carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Krumovgrad are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Vtora liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Marek Clean Sheet 10%
Krumovgrad Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marek Krumovgrad
Matches Played 27 8
Wins 11 8
Draws 7 0
Losses 9 0
Goals Scored 0.93 3.25
Goals Conceded 0.89 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Vtora liga
Marek vs Krumovgrad
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marek 10 / 100
Krumovgrad 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marek Krumovgrad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Krumovgrad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Marek remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Marek scored in 59% of their last 27 outings.

Krumovgrad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 8 matches.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Marek VS Krumovgrad
1.13 Goals Scored 3.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Marek

(Home)
26 Sept
Gorna
0 : 0
Marek
20 Sept
Marek
1 : 3
Rilski Sportist
13 Sept
Marek
3 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
06 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
3 : 0
Marek
02 Sept
Marek
1 : 0
Nesebar
Page 1 of 6

Krumovgrad

(Away)
26 Sept
Gigant Saedinenie
0 : 2
Krumovgrad
19 Sept
Maritsa Milevo
0 : 4
Krumovgrad
12 Sept
Krumovgrad
6 : 1
Sekirovo Rakovski
06 Sept
Botev II
0 : 2
Krumovgrad
29 Aug
Krumovgrad
4 : 2
Neftochimic Burgas
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dunav Ruse 32 20 9 3 53:16 69
2 Yantra Gabrovo 32 18 10 4 45:24 64
3 Fratria 32 18 9 5 61:29 63
4 Vihren 32 17 7 8 59:34 58
5 CSKA Sofia II 32 16 7 9 57:32 55
6 Chernomorets 1919 32 11 13 8 38:32 46
7 Etar 32 11 11 10 39:43 44
8 Ludogorets II 32 11 8 13 41:43 41
9 Marek 32 10 11 11 27:35 41
10 Hebar 32 11 7 14 41:51 40
11 Pirin Blagoevgrad 32 9 11 12 38:41 38
12 Spartak Pleven 32 9 8 15 37:45 35
13 Svoge 32 9 7 16 28:48 34
14 Gorna 32 8 9 15 33:52 33
15 Sevlievo 32 9 5 18 29:52 32
16 Minyor Pernik 32 7 9 16 32:45 30
17 Belasitsa Petrich 32 4 7 21 26:62 19
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