Sport Picks
Match Events
59'
59'
Victor Hugo
62'
62'
Dimitrov B.
72'
72'
Dimitrov B.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-4. This leg finished 1-4.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Marek
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Marek lately — more wins on the board than Montana.
- Win probability leans Marek's way, sitting at 90%.
- Marek have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Montana, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Marek Clean Sheet 68%
Montana Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Marek | Montana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 5 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.96 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 Vtora liga
Montana vs Marek
1:0
Oct 29, 2025 Bulgarian Cup
Marek vs Montana
1:4
Dec 5, 2024 Vtora liga
Marek vs Montana
2:1
Jul 20, 2024 Vtora liga
Montana vs Marek
0:0
Dec 4, 2023 Vtora liga
Montana vs Marek
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Marek Compare
Top Goalscorer Nikolov B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Montana Compare
Top Goalscorer Dimitrov B.
2 Goals Assists Leader Victor Hugo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Marek 95 / 100
Montana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Marek Montana
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Marek Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Marek's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Defensive concern: Montana conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Marek stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Marek VS Montana
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Marek
(Home) 20 Sept
Marek
1 : 3 Rilski Sportist
13 Sept
Marek
3 : 0 Pirin Blagoevgrad
06 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
3 : 0 Marek
02 Sept
Marek
1 : 0 Nesebar
29 Aug
Svoge
0 : 0 Marek
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Marek
1 : 3 Rilski Sportist
13 Sept
Marek
3 : 0 Pirin Blagoevgrad
02 Sept
Marek
1 : 0 Nesebar
23 Aug
Marek
4 : 2 Dobrudzha
23 May
Marek
1 : 0 Etar
Page 1 of 2
Montana
(Away) 21 Sept
Montana
0 : 5 Hebar
13 Sept
CSKA Sofia II
4 : 0 Montana
08 Sept
Montana
1 : 4 Vihren
03 Sept
Beroe
0 : 0 Montana
30 Aug
Montana
3 : 0 Gorna
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
CSKA Sofia II
4 : 0 Montana
03 Sept
Beroe
0 : 0 Montana
22 Aug
Rilski Sportist
2 : 1 Montana
11 Aug
Yantra Gabrovo
3 : 2 Montana
25 Jul
Svoge
2 : 2 Montana
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Bdin Vidin 2
Etar 1
TBD -
Dobrudzha -
Zagorets -
TBD -
TBD -
Botev Vratsa -
Partizan Cerven Brjag 0
Minyor Pernik 2
TBD -
Cherno More -
Germaneya 0
Fratria 4
TBD -
Arda -
Benkovski 0
Dunav Ruse 4
TBD -
Lok. Plovdiv -
Septemvri Tervel 0
Marek 3
TBD -
Montana -
Yambol 1915 2
Vihren 1
TBD -
Spartak Varna -
OFC Haskovo 0
Spartak Pleven 4
TBD -
Botev Plovdiv -
Botev Novi Pazar 1
Svoge 4
TBD -
Septemvri Sofia -
FC Lovech 0
Chernomorets 1919 5
TBD -
Ludogorets -
Pernik 1
Hebar 8
TBD -
Levski Sofia -
Bistritsa 2
Gorna 1
TBD -
Beroe -
Chernolomets 2
Sevlievo 4
TBD -
CSKA Sofia -
Rilski Sportist 2
Belasitsa Petrich 1
TBD -
Lok. Sofia -
Spartak Plovdiv 2
Pirin Blagoevgrad 1
TBD -
Slavia Sofia -
Kom Berkovitsa 0
Yantra Gabrovo 1
TBD -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
1/16-finals
Bdin Vidin 2
Dobrudzha 7
Zagorets 1
Botev Vratsa 4
Minyor Pernik 0
Cherno More 3
Fratria 1
Arda 2
Dunav Ruse 1
Lok. Plovdiv 2
Marek 1
Montana 4
Yambol 1915 1
Spartak Varna 3
Spartak Pleven 0
Botev Plovdiv 4
Svoge 0
Septemvri Sofia 2
Chernomorets 1919 2
Ludogorets 3
Hebar 0
Levski Sofia 3
Bistritsa 1
Beroe 0
Sevlievo 1
CSKA Sofia 2
Rilski Sportist 2
Lok. Sofia 3
Spartak Plovdiv 1
Slavia Sofia 2
Yantra Gabrovo 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia 4
1/8-finals
Dobrudzha 0
Botev Vratsa 1
Cherno More 0
Arda 3
Lok. Plovdiv 4
Montana 0
Spartak Varna 0
Botev Plovdiv 2
Septemvri Sofia 1
Ludogorets 3
Levski Sofia 3
Bistritsa 0
CSKA Sofia 2
Lok. Sofia 1
Slavia Sofia 2
CSKA 1948 Sofia 3
Quarter-finals
Botev Vratsa 2
Arda 3
Lok. Plovdiv 1
Botev Plovdiv 0
Ludogorets 1
Levski Sofia 0
CSKA Sofia 2
CSKA 1948 Sofia 0
Semi-finals
Arda 1
Lok. Plovdiv 5
Ludogorets 1
CSKA Sofia 2
Final
Lok. Plovdiv 1
CSKA Sofia 2
