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Margate vs Tonbridge

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Derry T.
51' Event
Trialist D
66' Event
Taylor-Crossdale M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Margate and Tonbridge finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tonbridge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Margate
20%
Draws
58%
Tonbridge
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tonbridge

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Margate haven't matched Tonbridge's recent run of results.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Tonbridge taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Tonbridge have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Margate Clean Sheet 10%
Tonbridge Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Margate Tonbridge
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 13 18
Draws 6 4
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.74 2
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2025 Club Friendly
Margate vs Tonbridge
2:3
Jul 20, 2024 Club Friendly
Tonbridge vs Margate
2:1
Jul 29, 2023 Club Friendly
Tonbridge vs Margate
1:0
Jul 23, 2022 Club Friendly
Margate vs Tonbridge
1:3
Feb 9, 2019 Isthmian League Premier Division
Tonbridge vs Margate
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Margate Compare

Top Goalscorer Derry T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Atkins L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Tonbridge Compare

Top Goalscorer Trialist D
1 Goals
Assists Leader Taylor-Crossdale M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Margate 10 / 100
Tonbridge 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Margate Tonbridge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tonbridge Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Margate scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Tonbridge's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Margate remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Margate VS Tonbridge
0.75 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Margate

(Home)
05 Sept
Margate
1 : 3
Snodland
28 Aug
Ascot United
3 : 0
Margate
18 Jul
Chatham
1 : 2
Margate
04 Jul
Margate
0 : 1
Dover Ath.
06 Sept
Westfield
4 : 2
Margate
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Tonbridge

(Away)
12 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1
Tonbridge
08 Sept
Tonbridge
0 : 1
Maidstone
05 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 4
Tonbridge
31 Aug
Tonbridge
5 : 1
Walton & Hersham
29 Aug
Billericay
2 : 2
Tonbridge
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