Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Margveti 2006 vs FC Tbilisi 2025 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Deisadze I.
57' Event
Nozadze T.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga 3 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Margveti 2006
20%
Draws
38%
FC Tbilisi 2025
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Margveti 2006

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Margveti 2006 haven't matched FC Tbilisi 2025's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Margveti 2006 Clean Sheet 14%
FC Tbilisi 2025 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Margveti 2006 FC Tbilisi 2025
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 17
Draws 4 9
Losses 14 3
Goals Scored 1.41 2.34
Goals Conceded 1.83 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2026 Liga 3
Margveti 2006 vs FC Tbilisi 2025
1:1
Mar 5, 2026 Liga 3
FC Tbilisi 2025 vs Margveti 2006
2:1
Oct 30, 2025 Liga 3
FC Tbilisi 2025 vs Margveti 2006
3:1
Jun 20, 2025 Georgian Cup
Margveti 2006 vs FC Tbilisi 2025
0:3
May 29, 2025 Liga 3
Margveti 2006 vs FC Tbilisi 2025
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Margveti 2006 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nozadze T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

FC Tbilisi 2025 Compare

Top Goalscorer Deisadze I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Margveti 2006 31 / 100
FC Tbilisi 2025 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Margveti 2006 FC Tbilisi 2025

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Margveti 2006 found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Margveti 2006 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FC Tbilisi 2025's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Margveti 2006 VS FC Tbilisi 2025
2 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Margveti 2006

(Home)
09 Oct
Margveti 2006
0 : 4
Guria
17 Sept
Margveti 2006
3 : 0
FC Gardabani
10 Sept
Betlemi Keda
0 : 5
Margveti 2006
03 Sept
Margveti 2006
0 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
27 Aug
Didube
0 : 3
Margveti 2006
Page 1 of 6

FC Tbilisi 2025

(Away)
09 Oct
FC Tbilisi 2025
3 : 0
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
17 Sept
Gonio
1 : 0
FC Tbilisi 2025
10 Sept
FC Tbilisi 2025
1 : 1
Iberia 1999 2
03 Sept
Locomotive Tbilisi
3 : 3
FC Tbilisi 2025
27 Aug
FC Tbilisi 2025
5 : 0
Iveria Khashuri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guria 23 17 3 3 67:11 54
2 FC Tbilisi 2025 23 15 7 1 57:14 52
3 Iberia 1999 2 23 11 9 3 37:19 42
4 Merani Tbilisi 23 11 7 5 39:29 40
5 WIT Georgia 23 11 5 7 37:25 38
6 Gonio 23 11 5 7 32:24 38
7 Orbi 23 10 5 8 39:28 35
8 Didube 23 9 7 7 35:31 34
9 Dinamo Tbilisi 2 23 9 5 9 34:33 32
10 Locomotive Tbilisi 23 8 7 8 30:29 31
11 Margveti 2006 23 9 3 11 30:39 30
12 Khobi 23 7 3 13 31:46 24
13 FC Gardabani 23 4 4 15 19:56 16
14 Betlemi Keda 23 4 4 15 15:55 16
15 Iveria Khashuri 23 1 11 11 24:48 14
16 FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 23 2 5 16 19:58 11
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)