Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Margveti 2006 vs Iberia 1999

Georgia Georgia

Georgian Cup
Sat, Jul 25, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Georgian Cup. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Margveti 2006 have averaged 1.14 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Iberia 1999's 1.13 scored and 1.25 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.06) point toward Iberia 1999. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Margveti 2006
33%
Draws
27%
Iberia 1999
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Margveti 2006

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Iberia 1999 have won more games recently than Margveti 2006.
  • Model gives Margveti 2006 a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Iberia 1999 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Margveti 2006 Clean Sheet 20%
Iberia 1999 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Margveti 2006 Iberia 1999
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 15
Draws 4 7
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.14 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.14 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Margveti 2006 40 / 100
Iberia 1999 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Margveti 2006 Iberia 1999

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Margveti 2006's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Iberia 1999's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Margveti 2006 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Iberia 1999 registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Margveti 2006 VS Iberia 1999
1.14 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
71% Over 1.5 75%
29% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Margveti 2006

(Home)
26 Jun
Torpedo Kutaisi 2
0 : 4
Margveti 2006
21 Jun
Margveti 2006
2 : 0
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
15 Jun
Gonio
4 : 0
Margveti 2006
28 May
Margveti 2006
2 : 0
Iberia 1999 2
21 May
Locomotive Tbilisi
1 : 0
Margveti 2006
Page 1 of 6

Iberia 1999

(Away)
14 Jul
Iberia 1999
2 : 2
Flora
08 Jul
Flora
2 : 3
Iberia 1999
01 Jul
Iberia 1999
2 : 3
Torpedo Kutaisi
27 Jun
Iberia 1999
1 : 0
Dinamo Tbilisi
23 Jun
Iberia 1999
2 : 1
Meshakhte Tkibuli
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
FC Rustavi 22
Orbi3
TBD-
Dinamo Batumi-
Torpedo Kutaisi 20
Margveti 20064
TBD-
Iberia 1999-
Kolkheti 1913-
TBD-
Zooveti Tbilisi0
Dusheti2
Skuri Tsalenjikha3
Dinamo Tbilisi 24
TBD-
Spaeri-
Dinamo Sokhumi0
Gonio3
TBD-
Meshakhte Tkibuli-
Basa2
Locomotive Tbilisi1
TBD-
FC Gareji Sagarejo-
Mertskhali1
Gori3
TBD-
Bolnisi-
Dmanisi0
WIT Georgia3
TBD-
Samgurali-
Merani Martvili 21
Iberia 1999 22
TBD-
Telavi-
Merani Martvili-
TBD-
Gagra 21
Odishi 19192
Guria6
Merani Tbilisi1
TBD-
Dinamo Tbilisi-
Samtredia-
TBD-
West Georgia0
Shturmi2
FC Gardabani1
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi5
TBD-
Dila Gori-
Iveria Khashuri5
Betlemi Keda4
TBD-
Torpedo Kutaisi-
Aragvelebi0
FC Tbilisi 20254
TBD-
FC Rustavi-
Samtskhe4
Didube1
TBD-
Gagra-
1/16-finals
Orbi-
Dinamo Batumi-
Margveti 2006-
Iberia 1999-
Kolkheti 1913-
Dusheti-
Dinamo Tbilisi 2-
Spaeri-
Gonio-
Meshakhte Tkibuli-
Basa-
FC Gareji Sagarejo-
Gori-
Bolnisi-
WIT Georgia-
Samgurali-
Iberia 1999 2-
Telavi-
Merani Martvili-
Odishi 1919-
Guria-
Dinamo Tbilisi-
Samtredia-
Shturmi-
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi-
Dila Gori-
Iveria Khashuri-
Torpedo Kutaisi-
FC Tbilisi 2025-
FC Rustavi-
Samtskhe-
Gagra-
1/8-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-