Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Margveti 2006 vs Iberia 1999

Georgia Georgia

Georgian Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Dzagania A.
59' Event
Chargeishvili V.
(Penalty)
66' Event
Dzagania A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. This leg finished 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Margveti 2006
15%
Draws
42%
Iberia 1999
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Margveti 2006

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Iberia 1999 have won more games recently than Margveti 2006.
  • Model gives Margveti 2006 a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Iberia 1999 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Iberia 1999, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Margveti 2006 Clean Sheet 20%
Iberia 1999 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Margveti 2006 Iberia 1999
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 15
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.47 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 2.07 0.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 Georgian Cup
Margveti 2006 vs Iberia 1999
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Margveti 2006 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 1.03

Iberia 1999 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dzagania A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nachkebia L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.47

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Margveti 2006 85 / 100
Iberia 1999 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Margveti 2006 Iberia 1999

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Margveti 2006 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Margveti 2006's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Iberia 1999 let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Margveti 2006 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Margveti 2006 VS Iberia 1999
2.14 Goals Scored 1
0.71 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 63%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Margveti 2006

(Home)
17 Sept
Margveti 2006
3 : 0
FC Gardabani
10 Sept
Betlemi Keda
0 : 5
Margveti 2006
03 Sept
Margveti 2006
0 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
27 Aug
Didube
0 : 3
Margveti 2006
20 Aug
Margveti 2006
2 : 1
Orbi
Page 1 of 6

Iberia 1999

(Away)
21 Sept
FC Rustavi
0 : 2
Iberia 1999
17 Sept
Iberia 1999
2 : 1
Dila Gori
13 Sept
Iberia 1999
1 : 0
Spaeri
09 Sept
Dinamo Batumi
2 : 0
Iberia 1999
05 Sept
Iberia 1999
2 : 1
Samgurali
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Basa 2
Locomotive Tbilisi 1
TBD -
FC Gareji Sagarejo -
Samtskhe 4
Didube 1
TBD -
Gagra -
Guria 6
Merani Tbilisi 1
TBD -
Dinamo Tbilisi -
Kolkheti 1913 -
TBD -
Zooveti Tbilisi 0
Dusheti 2
Samtredia -
TBD -
West Georgia 0
Shturmi 2
Torpedo Kutaisi 2 0
Margveti 2006 4
TBD -
Iberia 1999 -
Aragvelebi 0
FC Tbilisi 2025 4
TBD -
FC Rustavi -
Skuri Tsalenjikha 3
Dinamo Tbilisi 2 4
TBD -
Spaeri -
Iveria Khashuri 5
Betlemi Keda 4
TBD -
Torpedo Kutaisi -
Merani Martvili -
TBD -
Gagra 2 1
Odishi 1919 2
FC Rustavi 2 2
Orbi 3
TBD -
Dinamo Batumi -
Merani Martvili 2 1
Iberia 1999 2 2
TBD -
Telavi -
Mertskhali 1
Gori 3
TBD -
Bolnisi -
FC Gardabani 1
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 5
TBD -
Dila Gori -
Dmanisi 0
WIT Georgia 3
TBD -
Samgurali -
Dinamo Sokhumi 0
Gonio 3
TBD -
Meshakhte Tkibuli -
1/16-finals
Basa 0
FC Gareji Sagarejo 2
Samtskhe 1
Gagra 2
Guria 1
Dinamo Tbilisi 0
Kolkheti 1913 0
Dusheti 1
Samtredia 2
Shturmi 1
Margveti 2006 1
Iberia 1999 3
FC Tbilisi 2025 0
FC Rustavi 1
Dinamo Tbilisi 2 1
Spaeri 5
Iveria Khashuri 1
Torpedo Kutaisi 3
Merani Martvili 1
Odishi 1919 2
Orbi 1
Dinamo Batumi 4
Iberia 1999 2 0
Telavi 1
Gori 1
Bolnisi 0
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 0
Dila Gori 1
WIT Georgia 2
Samgurali 3
Gonio 1
Meshakhte Tkibuli 2
1/8-finals
FC Gareji Sagarejo 1
Gagra 4
Guria 1
Dusheti 2
Samtredia 2
Iberia 1999 0
FC Rustavi 3
Spaeri 1
Torpedo Kutaisi 4
Odishi 1919 1
Dinamo Batumi 1
Telavi 0
Gori 0
Dila Gori 2
Samgurali 1
Meshakhte Tkibuli 0
Quarter-finals
Gagra 1
Dusheti 0
Samtredia 1
FC Rustavi 2
Torpedo Kutaisi 2
Dinamo Batumi 4
Dila Gori 2
Samgurali 1
Semi-finals
Gagra -
FC Rustavi -
Dinamo Batumi -
Dila Gori -
Final
TBD -
TBD -