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Maria de Fonte vs Aguia Vimioso

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 game between Maria de Fonte and Aguia Vimioso finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maria de Fonte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Maria de Fonte
11%
Draws
9%
Aguia Vimioso
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Maria de Fonte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Maria de Fonte come out ahead of Aguia Vimioso on wins alone.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Maria de Fonte taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Maria de Fonte Clean Sheet 16%
Aguia Vimioso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maria de Fonte Aguia Vimioso
Matches Played 38 27
Wins 11 2
Draws 9 5
Losses 18 20
Goals Scored 1.75 0
Goals Conceded 1.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Maria de Fonte vs Aguia Vimioso
3:1
Dec 20, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Aguia Vimioso vs Maria de Fonte
1:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maria de Fonte 75 / 100
Aguia Vimioso 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maria de Fonte Aguia Vimioso

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aguia Vimioso has conceded goals in 85% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Maria de Fonte scored in 61% of their last 38 games.

Aguia Vimioso's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Maria de Fonte VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Braga B22174161:1255
2Merelinense22153434:1348
3CDC Montalegre22108436:2438
4SC Mirandela2298524:1635
5Maria de Fonte2295830:2932
6SC Vianense2295826:2832
7Vilaverdense FC2277828:3028
8Pedras Salgadas2268819:2326
9Vidago22651127:3623
10GD Braganca22481016:2520
11Cerveira22361311:2715
12Aguia Vimioso22151612:618
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Camacha00000:00
2Mondinense00000:00
3Tirsense00000:00
4AD Fafe00000:00
5FC Felgueiras00000:00
6Brito00000:00
7Vitoria Guimaraes B00000:00
8Sao Martinho00000:00
9Rio Ave B00000:00
10Berco00000:00
11Pevidem00000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gondomar00000:00
2Trofense00000:00
3U. Madeira00000:00
4Leca00000:00
5Coimbroes00000:00
6Paredes00000:00
7Amarante FC00000:00
8Camara de Lobos00000:00
9SC Salgueiros00000:00
10SC Vila Real00000:00
11Maritimo B00000:00
12Pedras Rubras00000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vitoria Setubal00000:00
2Olhanense00000:00
3Juv. Evora00000:00
4Louletano00000:00
5Aljustrelense00000:00
6Pinhalnovense00000:00
7Esperanca de Lagos00000:00
8Moura AC00000:00
9Lusitano GC00000:00
10Amora00000:00
11Moncarapachense00000:00
12Armacenenses00000:00