Sport Picks

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Maria de Fonte vs Desportivo Moncao

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

No Data

No live events recorded yet.

AI Match Summary

Maria de Fonte host Desportivo Moncao in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Maria de Fonte at 0 goals for, 0 against; Desportivo Moncao at 0.88 for, 1.63 against. Past meetings favor Maria de Fonte slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 8, 2023, ending 2:6. The numbers (1.42 xG vs 0.99) point toward Maria de Fonte. Maria de Fonte in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Maria de Fonte
33%
Draws
27%
Desportivo Moncao
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Maria de Fonte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Desportivo Moncao demonstrates higher offensive output (0.88 avg goals) than Maria de Fonte (0 avg goals).
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Maria de Fonte.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Maria de Fonte Clean Sheet 20%
Desportivo Moncao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maria de Fonte Desportivo Moncao
Matches Played 32 36
Wins 8 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 17 21
Goals Scored 0 0.88
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Maria de Fonte vs Desportivo Moncao
2:6
Dec 18, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Desportivo Moncao vs Maria de Fonte
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maria de Fonte 40 / 100
Desportivo Moncao 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maria de Fonte Desportivo Moncao

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maria de Fonte scored in 56% of their last 32 games.

Desportivo Moncao let in goals in 81% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Maria de Fonte went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Desportivo Moncao lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Desportivo Moncao
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SC Vianense26165537:1953
2Amarante FC26149343:2551
3Tirsense261421039:2544
4Pevidem26134937:3043
5Vila Mea26116939:3039
6Vilar de Perdizes26812633:3236
7Brito2698921:2835
8Dumiense26971034:3534
9Merelinense2689932:3233
10Pedras Salgadas26881027:2832
11Desportivo Moncao26761334:4527
12Maria de Fonte26671327:4525
13Sao Martinho26591224:3424
14GD Braganca26561520:3921