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Maria Saal vs Lienz

Austria Austria

Karnten 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Maria Saal in this Karnten 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maria Saal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Maria Saal
15%
Draws
28%
Lienz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maria Saal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Maria Saal have won more games recently than Lienz.
  • Maria Saal are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Maria Saal here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Maria Saal Clean Sheet 18%
Lienz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maria Saal Lienz
Matches Played 36 35
Wins 13 8
Draws 7 5
Losses 16 22
Goals Scored 1.89 0.89
Goals Conceded 2.17 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2017 Karnten
Lienz vs Maria Saal
0:3
Sep 10, 2016 Karnten
Maria Saal vs Lienz
4:1
Apr 2, 2016 Karnten
Maria Saal vs Lienz
4:0
Aug 8, 2015 Karnten
Lienz vs Maria Saal
2:3
May 29, 2013 Karnten
Lienz vs Maria Saal
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maria Saal 85 / 100
Lienz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maria Saal Lienz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maria Saal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Maria Saal scored in 81% of their last 36 outings.

Lienz let in goals in 86% of their last 35 matches.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Lienz's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Maria Saal VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Maria Saal

(Home)
19 Feb
Maria Saal
6 : 5
SV Kraig
09 Jun
SV Feldkirchen/Karnten
3 : 1
Maria Saal
03 Jun
Maria Saal
2 : 0
Asko Gmund
26 May
St. Andra Lav
3 : 1
Maria Saal
20 May
Maria Saal
1 : 4
Lendorf
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Lienz

(Away)
13 Jul
Lienz
0 : 11
Udinese
19 Jul
Al Hilal
5 : 0
Lienz
10 Jul
Lienz
0 : 9
Rennes
16 Jun
Bleiburg
3 : 0
Lienz
09 Jun
Lienz
2 : 0
Volkermarkt
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