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Maribor vs Zeleznicar Pancevo

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Maribor play Zeleznicar Pancevo in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Maribor averaged 1.52 goals scored and 1.44 conceded. Zeleznicar Pancevo averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Maribor won 2, Zeleznicar Pancevo won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 12, 2025 ended 2-1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Maribor and 1.56 for Zeleznicar Pancevo. This points to a Zeleznicar Pancevo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Maribor
33%
Draws
34%
Zeleznicar Pancevo
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Zeleznicar Pancevo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Maribor picked up more points recently compared to Zeleznicar Pancevo.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Maribor Clean Sheet 15%
Zeleznicar Pancevo Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maribor Zeleznicar Pancevo
Matches Played 25 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 8 10
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.52 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.44 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Maribor vs Zeleznicar Pancevo
2-1
Apr 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Maribor
2-0
Mar 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Maribor vs Zeleznicar Pancevo
1-2
Feb 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Maribor
1-2
Jan 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Maribor vs Zeleznicar Pancevo
2-2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maribor Compare

Top Goalscorer Feta B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Zeleznicar Pancevo Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuljanin A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maribor 33 / 100
Zeleznicar Pancevo 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maribor Zeleznicar Pancevo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Zeleznicar Pancevo or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Maribor attacking → ← attacking Zeleznicar Pancevo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maribor scored in 84% of their last 25 games.

Zeleznicar Pancevo let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Maribor went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Zeleznicar Pancevo lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 43
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25