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Marica U20 vs Madureira U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca U20
Marica U20 Logo

Marica U20

2 - 3
FT
Madureira U20 Logo

Madureira U20

Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Lima L.
30' Event
Ribeiro T.
62' Event
Lima L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Madureira U20 in this Carioca U20 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Madureira U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Marica U20
35%
Draws
37%
Madureira U20
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Madureira U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Madureira U20 average 1.14 goals a game right now, well clear of Marica U20's 0.94.
  • Madureira U20 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Carioca U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Madureira U20 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Marica U20 Clean Sheet 18%
Madureira U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marica U20 Madureira U20
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 5 11
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 0.94 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Carioca U20
Marica U20 vs Madureira U20
2:3
Mar 28, 2026 Copa Rio U20
Madureira U20 vs Marica U20
1:0
Aug 16, 2025 Carioca U20
Marica U20 vs Madureira U20
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marica U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ribeiro T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodrigues dos Reis Neto A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Madureira U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lima L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gustavo L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marica U20 23 / 100
Madureira U20 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marica U20 Madureira U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Madureira U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Madureira U20 conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Marica U20 scored in 55% of their last 31 games.

Solid form: Marica U20 remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Marica U20 VS Madureira U20
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Marica U20

(Home)
10 Oct
Marica U20
0 : 3
Fluminense U20
03 Oct
Botafogo RJ U20
4 : 1
Marica U20
25 Sept
Marica U20
1 : 0
Volta Redonda U20
19 Sept
Bangu U20
1 : 0
Marica U20
12 Sept
Marica U20
2 : 3
Madureira U20
Page 1 of 7

Madureira U20

(Away)
10 Oct
Sampaio Correa FE U20
1 : 1
Madureira U20
03 Oct
Madureira U20
1 : 1
Boavista U20
30 Sept
Madureira U20
0 : 1
Vasco U20
27 Sept
Nova Iguacu U20
2 : 2
Madureira U20
19 Sept
Madureira U20
0 : 0
Portuguesa RJ U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fluminense U20 10 8 2 0 26:7 26
2 Flamengo RJ U20 9 8 0 1 25:8 24
3 Vasco U20 9 7 1 1 17:6 22
4 Botafogo RJ U20 9 5 1 3 17:12 16
5 Sampaio Correa FE U20 10 4 3 3 13:18 15
6 Bangu U20 9 3 2 4 11:12 11
7 Nova Iguacu U20 10 2 4 4 11:17 10
8 Madureira U20 10 1 7 2 11:14 10
9 Marica U20 10 2 2 6 11:18 8
10 Boavista U20 10 2 2 6 12:21 8
11 Portuguesa RJ U20 10 1 2 7 7:16 5
12 Volta Redonda U20 10 1 2 7 7:19 5
Promotion - Carioca U20 (Taca Guanabara - Play Offs)