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Marica vs Bonsucesso

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2
Marica Logo

Marica

0 - 0
FT
Bonsucesso Logo

Bonsucesso

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Carioca 2 game between Marica and Bonsucesso finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Marica
35%
Draws
32%
Bonsucesso
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Bonsucesso's 1.1 goals per match outpaces what Marica have produced (1).
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Marica Clean Sheet 68%
Bonsucesso Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marica Bonsucesso
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2026 Carioca 2
Marica vs Bonsucesso
0:0
Nov 18, 2020 Carioca 2
Marica vs Bonsucesso
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marica 41 / 100
Bonsucesso 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marica Bonsucesso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marica found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Bonsucesso conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Marica stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Marica VS Bonsucesso
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Marica

(Home)
12 Aug
Boavista
3 : 0
Marica
05 Aug
Marica
1 : 0
Boavista
22 Jul
Marica
3 : 0
Perolas Negras
18 Jul
Marica
1 : 1
Resende
15 Jul
Perolas Negras
0 : 0
Marica
Page 1 of 6

Bonsucesso

(Away)
22 Jul
Madureira
2 : 1
Bonsucesso
15 Jul
Bonsucesso
2 : 2
Madureira
04 Jul
Olaria
0 : 1
Bonsucesso
01 Jul
Bonsucesso
3 : 2
America RJ
23 Jun
Cabofriense
0 : 0
Bonsucesso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Americano 11 8 1 2 18:9 25
2 Marica 11 7 3 1 11:7 24
3 Resende 11 5 4 2 16:9 19
4 America RJ 11 5 1 5 18:14 16
5 Perolas Negras 11 5 1 5 11:15 16
6 Sao Goncalo 11 4 2 5 11:10 14
7 Bonsucesso 11 4 2 5 10:11 14
8 Olaria 11 3 4 4 11:11 13
9 Cabofriense 11 3 3 5 12:13 12
10 CEAC/Araruama 11 3 2 6 11:15 11
11 Serrano FC 11 2 5 4 10:18 11
12 Audax RJ 11 3 0 8 10:17 9
Promotion - Carioca 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B1 (Main)