Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Marica vs Resende - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Vitinho
81' Event
Pablo Thomaz
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Marica
30%
Draws
23%
Resende
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Marica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Resende at 1.27 per game, Marica at 1.
  • Model gives Marica a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Marica, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Marica Clean Sheet 68%
Resende Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marica Resende
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Carioca 2
Marica vs Resende
1:1
Jul 11, 2026 Carioca 2
Resende vs Marica
1:0
Apr 29, 2026 Carioca 2
Resende vs Marica
4:0
Jul 13, 2024 Carioca 2
Marica vs Resende
1:0
Jul 26, 2023 Carioca 2
Resende vs Marica
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marica Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Resende Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marica 59 / 100
Resende 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marica Resende

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marica found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Resende conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Marica went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marica VS Resende
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Marica

(Home)
12 Aug
Boavista
3 : 0
Marica
05 Aug
Marica
1 : 0
Boavista
22 Jul
Marica
3 : 0
Perolas Negras
18 Jul
Marica
1 : 1
Resende
15 Jul
Perolas Negras
0 : 0
Marica
Page 1 of 6

Resende

(Away)
01 Aug
Americano
2 : 0
Resende
25 Jul
Resende
1 : 0
Americano
22 Jul
Sampaio Correa FE
2 : 0
Resende
18 Jul
Marica
1 : 1
Resende
15 Jul
Resende
0 : 1
Sampaio Correa FE
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Americano 4
America RJ 1
Marica 1
Resende 2
Final
Americano 2
Resende 1