Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Marica play Sao Goncalo in the Carioca 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Marica averaged 0.96 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Sao Goncalo averaged 1.07 goals scored and 0.81 conceded. In past meetings, Marica won 2, Sao Goncalo won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 13, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Marica and 1.06 for Sao Goncalo. This points to a Marica double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Marica picked up more points recently compared to Sao Goncalo.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 1.06 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Marica | Sao Goncalo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.96 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.63 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Marica Compare
Sao Goncalo Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Marica scored in 74% of their last 27 games.
Sao Goncalo let in goals in 59% of their last 27 matches.
Games between these two average 1.00 goals.
Marica went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Sao Goncalo lost 0 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Americano | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18:9 | 25 |
| 2 | Marica | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 11:7 | 24 |
| 3 | Resende | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 16:9 | 19 |
| 4 | America RJ | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 18:14 | 16 |
| 5 | Perolas Negras | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 11:15 | 16 |
| 6 | Sao Goncalo | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 7 | Bonsucesso | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 8 | Olaria | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11:11 | 13 |
| 9 | Cabofriense | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12:13 | 12 |
| 10 | CEAC/Araruama | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:15 | 11 |
| 11 | Serrano FC | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10:18 | 11 |
| 12 | Audax RJ | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 10:17 | 9 |