Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mariehamn vs AC Oulu

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Wiklöf Holding Arena, Mariehamn
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Larsson A.
Assist: Stroud A.
36'
Kemppainen O.
38' Event
Larsson A.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Veikkausliiga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Mariehamn
30%
Draws
34%
AC Oulu
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mariehamn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • AC Oulu have won more games recently than Mariehamn.
  • Model gives Mariehamn a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Veikkausliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Mariehamn Clean Sheet 13%
AC Oulu Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mariehamn AC Oulu
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 5 15
Draws 9 5
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 0.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Mariehamn vs AC Oulu
1:1
Jun 18, 2026 Veikkausliiga
AC Oulu vs Mariehamn
2:1
Oct 18, 2025 Veikkausliiga
Mariehamn vs AC Oulu
2:0
Jul 26, 2025 Veikkausliiga
Mariehamn vs AC Oulu
0:1
May 17, 2025 Veikkausliiga
AC Oulu vs Mariehamn
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mariehamn Compare

Top Goalscorer Larsson A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.1
Avg xA / game 0.07

AC Oulu Compare

Top Goalscorer Kallio E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mariehamn 35 / 100
AC Oulu 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mariehamn AC Oulu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AC Oulu has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Difficult form: AC Oulu registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Mariehamn's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Mariehamn VS AC Oulu
0.13 Goals Scored 0.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mariehamn

(Home)
25 Jul
Mariehamn
1 : 1
AC Oulu
20 Jul
Mariehamn
0 : 2
Lahti
11 Jul
Gnistan
4 : 2
Mariehamn
04 Jul
VPS
4 : 0
Mariehamn
27 Jun
Mariehamn
0 : 2
Inter Turku
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AC Oulu

(Away)
25 Jul
Mariehamn
1 : 1
AC Oulu
18 Jul
AC Oulu
0 : 2
Gnistan
11 Jul
TPS
3 : 0
AC Oulu
27 Jun
AC Oulu
1 : 1
Lahti
23 Jun
VPS
5 : 1
AC Oulu
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1KuPS17106132:1636
2Inter Turku1787224:1431
3HJK1784528:2028
4Gnistan1784527:2128
5VPS1776424:1627
6AC Oulu1783621:2127
7Lahti1764720:1622
8TPS1764720:2022
9Ilves1764729:3022
10Jaro1736817:3315
11SJK1735919:2714
12Mariehamn1705129:365
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)