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Mariehamn vs AC Oulu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Wiklöf Holding Arena, Mariehamn
Mariehamn Logo

Mariehamn

1 - 1
FT
AC Oulu Logo

AC Oulu

Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Larsson A.
36'
Kemppainen O.
38' Event
Larsson A.
Penalty Missed
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Veikkausliiga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Mariehamn
15%
Draws
26%
AC Oulu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mariehamn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • AC Oulu have won more games recently than Mariehamn.
  • Model gives Mariehamn a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Veikkausliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Mariehamn Clean Sheet 20%
AC Oulu Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mariehamn AC Oulu
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.04 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Mariehamn vs AC Oulu
1:1
Jun 18, 2026 Veikkausliiga
AC Oulu vs Mariehamn
2:1
Oct 18, 2025 Veikkausliiga
Mariehamn vs AC Oulu
2:0
Jul 26, 2025 Veikkausliiga
Mariehamn vs AC Oulu
0:1
May 17, 2025 Veikkausliiga
AC Oulu vs Mariehamn
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mariehamn Compare

Top Goalscorer Larsson A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

AC Oulu Compare

Top Goalscorer Kallio E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mariehamn 49 / 100
AC Oulu 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mariehamn AC Oulu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mariehamn Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AC Oulu has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Mariehamn has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

AC Oulu's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mariehamn VS AC Oulu
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mariehamn

(Home)
18 Sept
SJK
2 : 1
Mariehamn
12 Sept
Mariehamn
1 : 0
TPS
08 Sept
Lahti
2 : 1
Mariehamn
31 Aug
Mariehamn
2 : 0
Jaro
23 Aug
KuPS
2 : 4
Mariehamn
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AC Oulu

(Away)
08 Oct
KuPS
0 : 1
AC Oulu
18 Sept
AC Oulu
0 : 1
Inter Turku
12 Sept
AC Oulu
1 : 2
Gnistan
08 Sept
VPS
1 : 0
AC Oulu
31 Aug
AC Oulu
0 : 0
SJK
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KuPS 22 12 7 3 38:23 43
2 Inter Turku 22 11 9 2 29:16 42
3 HJK 22 11 4 7 36:27 37
4 Gnistan 22 10 6 6 36:29 36
5 AC Oulu 22 10 4 8 25:25 34
6 VPS 22 9 6 7 29:22 33
7 Lahti 22 9 5 8 26:19 32
8 TPS 22 8 7 7 28:23 31
9 Ilves 22 7 4 11 34:37 25
10 SJK 22 4 7 11 25:33 19
11 Jaro 22 3 6 13 18:44 15
12 Mariehamn 22 3 5 14 17:43 14
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)