Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mariehamn vs SJK

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Wiklöf Holding Arena, Mariehamn
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Monteiro R.
Assist: Bergvik A.
28'
Sub
Stroud A. In: Hyvonen M.
Out: Stroud A.
33'
Sub
Monteiro R. In: Huttunen A.
Out: Monteiro R.

AI Match Summary

Mariehamn in this Veikkausliiga matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mariehamn.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Mariehamn
30%
Draws
28%
SJK
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mariehamn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Mariehamn haven't matched SJK's recent run of results.
  • Mariehamn are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and SJK have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Mariehamn Clean Sheet 18%
SJK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mariehamn SJK
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 11
Draws 5 9
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.1 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Veikkausliiga
SJK vs Mariehamn
2:1
Aug 15, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Mariehamn vs SJK
2:0
Apr 10, 2026 Veikkausliiga
SJK vs Mariehamn
3:0
Jun 28, 2025 Veikkausliiga
SJK vs Mariehamn
4:1
Apr 19, 2025 Veikkausliiga
Mariehamn vs SJK
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mariehamn Compare

Top Goalscorer Monteiro R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nurmi N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

SJK Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mariehamn 85 / 100
SJK 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mariehamn SJK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mariehamn Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: SJK conceded in 81% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Mariehamn stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Mariehamn scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Mariehamn VS SJK
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mariehamn

(Home)
18 Sept
SJK
2 : 1
Mariehamn
12 Sept
Mariehamn
1 : 0
TPS
08 Sept
Lahti
2 : 1
Mariehamn
31 Aug
Mariehamn
2 : 0
Jaro
23 Aug
KuPS
2 : 4
Mariehamn
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SJK

(Away)
18 Sept
SJK
2 : 1
Mariehamn
12 Sept
Jaro
1 : 1
SJK
08 Sept
TPS
0 : 0
SJK
31 Aug
AC Oulu
0 : 0
SJK
21 Aug
SJK
1 : 2
Lahti
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KuPS 22 12 7 3 38:23 43
2 Inter Turku 22 11 9 2 29:16 42
3 HJK 22 11 4 7 36:27 37
4 Gnistan 22 10 6 6 36:29 36
5 AC Oulu 22 10 4 8 25:25 34
6 VPS 22 9 6 7 29:22 33
7 Lahti 22 9 5 8 26:19 32
8 TPS 22 8 7 7 28:23 31
9 Ilves 22 7 4 11 34:37 25
10 SJK 22 4 7 11 25:33 19
11 Jaro 22 3 6 13 18:44 15
12 Mariehamn 22 3 5 14 17:43 14
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)