Sport Picks
Match Events
12'
12'
Larsen R.
(Penalty)
17'
17'
Damsbo M.
Own Goal
61'
61'
Thisgaard M.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-1, with Marienlyst advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Marienlyst carry the better recent record into this one.
- Marienlyst are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Marienlyst have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Marienlyst, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Marienlyst Clean Sheet 17%
Hedensted Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Marienlyst | Hedensted |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 18 |
| Wins | 12 | 7 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 14 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 2.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 5, 2026 Betano Pokalen
Hedensted vs Marienlyst
0:5
Aug 6, 2019 Betano Pokalen
Marienlyst vs Hedensted
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Marienlyst Compare
Top Goalscorer Larsen L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Hedensted Compare
Top Goalscorer Thisgaard M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Marienlyst 48 / 100
Hedensted 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Marienlyst Hedensted
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Marienlyst Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hedensted let in goals in 89% of their last 18 matches.
H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.
Marienlyst found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).
Hedensted's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Marienlyst VS Hedensted
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Marienlyst
(Home) 26 Aug
Marienlyst
1 : 3 VSK Aarhus
05 Aug
Hedensted
0 : 5 Marienlyst
28 Feb
Naesby
2 : 2 Marienlyst
06 Aug
Marienlyst
1 : 2 Esbjerg
22 Feb
Naesby
5 : 3 Marienlyst
Page 1 of 6
26 Aug
Marienlyst
1 : 3 VSK Aarhus
06 Aug
Marienlyst
1 : 2 Esbjerg
10 Feb
Marienlyst
0 : 1 SfB-Oure
03 Feb
Marienlyst
3 : 4 Naesby
07 Feb
Marienlyst
0 : 1 Naesby
Page 1 of 4
Hedensted
(Away) 05 Aug
Hedensted
0 : 5 Marienlyst
11 Feb
Holstebro
1 : 1 Hedensted
30 Aug
Hedensted
1 : 2 Thisted FC
02 Aug
Hedensted
1 : 0 Dalum IF
11 Nov
Hedensted
1 : 5 Fremad Amager
Page 1 of 4
11 Feb
Holstebro
1 : 1 Hedensted
02 Sept
Fjordager
1 : 2 Hedensted
06 Aug
Marienlyst
3 : 1 Hedensted
07 Aug
Otterup
1 : 3 Hedensted
28 Jun
Horsens
3 : 0 Hedensted
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Viby 3
Horn-Farvang IF 2
Vatanspor 1
Fuglebakken 3
FB 3
KFUMs BK 2
Birkerod 1
Vanlose 4
Roskilde 7
Nordfalster 1
Saedding/Guldager IF 1
Tarup-Paarup 6
Kolding IF 3
Dalum IF 0
TBD -
Randers FC -
Brondby -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Middelfart 1
SfB-Oure 0
Lystrup 1
Skive 16
Hvidovre IF 2
Bronshoj 1
Ronne IK 0
B 1908 2
BK Viktoria 3
Hundested IK 1
TBD -
Sonderjyske -
Thisted FC 8
Skagen IK 0
Krarup/Espe 2
Varde 3
BK Union 1
Boldklubben 1893 0
TBD -
Horsens -
Midtjylland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyngby -
TBD -
Skjold 0
Fremad Amager 1
Hellerup 2
Jaegersborg 1
Taastrup 0
Herstedoster IC 1
Herlev 4
Karlslunde 1
TBD -
Silkeborg -
Avarta 4
Skovshoved 2
Sunshine 0
BK Frem 3
Brabrand 3
Aarhus Fremad 2
Hatting Torsted 0
Fredericia 5
Koge 9
Toreby-Graenge 0
Eskilstrup 0
Roskilde KFUM 12
Ledoje-Smorum 8
Naestved 77 0
Holbaek 1
Nykobing 2
Vejgaard 3
Vildbjerg 2
TBD -
Hobro -
Norresundby 2
Lyseng 1
TBD -
Aalborg -
FC Copenhagen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Naestved IF 3
Vordingborg 1
Rudersdal 0
Hillerod 5
Vendsyssel FF 9
Kjellerup 0
Alleso 0
Vejle 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nordsjaelland -
AB Copenhagen 2
Helsingor 0
Avedore 0
Slagelse 1
FC Sonderborg 3
Chang Odense 2
Jammerbugt 1
Viborg 2
Marienlyst 3
Hedensted 1
Odder 0
Holstebro 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Esbjerg -
Aarhus -
TBD -
Kolding BK 3
Marstal/Rise 5
Djursland 3
Dronninglund 0
Ringkobing 0
VSK Aarhus 1
Otterup 2
Flemlose Harby 1
OKS Odense 1
FC Sydvest 05 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Odense -
1/32-finals
Viby 3
Fuglebakken 0
FB 2
Vanlose 3
Roskilde 3
Tarup-Paarup 0
Kolding IF 0
Randers FC 4
Brondby -
TBD -
Middelfart 0
Skive 2
Hvidovre IF 5
B 1908 2
BK Viktoria 0
Sonderjyske 5
Thisted FC 4
Varde 3
BK Union 0
Horsens 2
Midtjylland -
TBD -
Lyngby 1
Fremad Amager 2
Hellerup 7
Herstedoster IC 4
Herlev 1
Silkeborg 3
Avarta 2
BK Frem 1
Brabrand 1
Fredericia 4
Koge 3
Roskilde KFUM 1
Ledoje-Smorum 1
Nykobing 4
Vejgaard 2
Hobro 1
Norresundby 0
Aalborg 8
FC Copenhagen -
TBD -
Naestved IF 0
Hillerod 1
Vendsyssel FF 1
Vejle 0
TBD -
Nordsjaelland -
AB Copenhagen 2
Slagelse 1
FC Sonderborg 0
Viborg 4
Marienlyst 2
Holstebro 1
TBD -
Esbjerg -
Aarhus 6
Marstal/Rise 2
Djursland 1
VSK Aarhus 4
Otterup 4
FC Sydvest 05 0
TBD -
Odense -
1/16-finals
Viby 1
Vanlose 0
Roskilde 1
Randers FC 2
Brondby 3
Skive 2
Hvidovre IF 2
Sonderjyske 4
Thisted FC 1
Horsens 2
Midtjylland 0
Fremad Amager 1
Hellerup 0
Silkeborg 1
Avarta 2
Fredericia 4
Koge 1
Nykobing 0
Vejgaard 0
Aalborg 6
FC Copenhagen 2
Hillerod 1
Vendsyssel FF 0
Nordsjaelland 2
AB Copenhagen 3
Viborg 1
Marienlyst 2
Esbjerg 5
Aarhus 3
VSK Aarhus 1
Otterup 0
Odense 2
1/8-finals
Viby 0
Randers FC 2
Brondby 0
Sonderjyske 1
Horsens 3
Fremad Amager 0
Silkeborg 4
Fredericia 3
Koge 0
Aalborg 3
FC Copenhagen 4
Nordsjaelland 1
AB Copenhagen 1
Esbjerg 2
Aarhus 1
Odense 0
Quarter-finals
Randers FC 1
Sonderjyske 2
Horsens 2
Silkeborg 1
Aalborg 2
FC Copenhagen 0
Esbjerg 1
Aarhus 4
Semi-finals
Sonderjyske 2
Horsens 1
Aalborg 3
Aarhus 2
Final
Sonderjyske 2
Aalborg 0
