Sport Picks
Match Events
19'
19'
Skaerlund J.
43'
43'
Kolberg D.
46'
46'
Sub
Mrgan E. In: Grosen R.
Out: Mrgan E.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-1, with Marienlyst advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marienlyst
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Marienlyst carry the better recent record into this one.
- Marienlyst are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Marienlyst have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Marienlyst, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Marienlyst have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Marienlyst Clean Sheet 16%
Slagelse Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Marienlyst | Slagelse |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 31 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 1 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 1.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 31, 2021 Betano Pokalen
Marienlyst vs Slagelse
3:1
May 5, 2019 2nd Division - Group 1
Slagelse vs Marienlyst
4:0
Mar 23, 2019 2nd Division - Group 2
Marienlyst vs Slagelse
1:0
Aug 12, 2018 2nd Division - Group 2
Slagelse vs Marienlyst
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Marienlyst Compare
Top Goalscorer Skaerlund J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Munk M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19
Slagelse Compare
Top Goalscorer Kolberg D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Marienlyst 84 / 100
Slagelse 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Marienlyst Slagelse
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Marienlyst Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Away concern: Slagelse has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Marienlyst scored in 78% of their last 27 games.
Slagelse's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.
Games between these two average 2.50 goals.
Scoring Trends
Marienlyst VS Slagelse
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 4
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 67%
Recent Form & Match History
Marienlyst
(Home) 26 Aug
Marienlyst
1 : 3 VSK Aarhus
05 Aug
Hedensted
0 : 5 Marienlyst
28 Feb
Naesby
2 : 2 Marienlyst
06 Aug
Marienlyst
1 : 2 Esbjerg
22 Feb
Naesby
5 : 3 Marienlyst
Page 1 of 6
26 Aug
Marienlyst
1 : 3 VSK Aarhus
06 Aug
Marienlyst
1 : 2 Esbjerg
10 Feb
Marienlyst
0 : 1 SfB-Oure
03 Feb
Marienlyst
3 : 4 Naesby
07 Feb
Marienlyst
0 : 1 Naesby
Page 1 of 4
Slagelse
(Away) 05 Aug
Slagelse
0 : 4 Sundby
28 Jan
Fremad Amager
3 : 0 Slagelse
02 Aug
Slagelse
0 : 5 Sonderjyske
23 Jul
Slagelse
0 : 3 Ishoj IF
11 Jun
Vanlose
1 : 0 Slagelse
Page 1 of 7
28 Jan
Fremad Amager
3 : 0 Slagelse
11 Jun
Vanlose
1 : 0 Slagelse
29 May
Roskilde KFUM
2 : 3 Slagelse
26 May
Herlev
1 : 1 Slagelse
07 May
Karlslunde
4 : 1 Slagelse
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Dollefjelde-Musse 1
Frederikssund 8
LUIF 0
BK Frem 9
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aarhus -
Hviding IF 0
Boldklubben 1913 5
Aabyhoj 0
Jammerbugt 2
Skovshoved 0
Hillerod 4
TBD -
Sonderjyske -
Dianalund 0
Roskilde KFUM 8
FC Kalundborg 1
AB Copenhagen 7
Naesby 3
Fredericia 4
TBD -
Viborg -
Virum-Sorgenfri BK 1
Norrebro FF 2
Herstedoster IC 1
Hvidovre IF 9
Svebolle 1
Greve IF 0
Avarta 1
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 3
Marienlyst 3
FC Sydvest 05 0
Tarup-Paarup 0
Slagelse 1
Skibet 2
Bredballe 3
SfB-Oure 0
Middelfart 6
Holbaek 2
Naestved IF 0
BK Viktoria 0
Fremad Amager 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Randers FC -
Viby 1
VSK Aarhus 2
Soften GF 0
Thisted FC 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nordsjaelland -
Nyhavn 0
Skjold 4
Helsingor 2
Koge 1
BSF 0
Roskilde 2
TBD -
Odense -
Varde 3
Boldklubben 1909 0
Saedding/Guldager IF 1
Horsens 4
Fuglebakken 0
Skive 2
TBD -
Silkeborg -
Fremad Valby 2
Bronshoj 1
Horsholm-Usserod 0
Vanlose 2
Vordingborg 2
Ishoj IF 1
TBD -
Vejle -
Brabrand 1
Hobro 0
Strandby 1
Vendsyssel FF 6
Dalum IF 1
Kolding IF 4
Bolbro 1
Esbjerg 5
Hellerup 1
Boldklubben 1893 2
B 1908 1
Nykobing 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Copenhagen -
Aalborg Freja 2
Give Fremad 1
Skalborg 0
Helsted 2
Flemlose Harby 0
Fjordager 3
Holstebro 0
Lyseng 2
Bornholm 0
Allerod 5
Nakskov 1
Herlev 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brondby -
Kvik/Aalestrup IF 1
Kjellerup 2
Norresundby 0
Aarhus Fremad 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Midtjylland -
AB Tarnby 2
Tarnby FF 3
Osterbro IF 0
Lyngby 9
FIUK Odense 2
Lojt 1
TBD -
Aalborg -
1/32-finals
Frederikssund 0
BK Frem 1
TBD -
Aarhus -
Boldklubben 1913 1
Jammerbugt 0
Hillerod 0
Sonderjyske 5
Roskilde KFUM 0
AB Copenhagen 5
Fredericia 2
Viborg 1
Norrebro FF 1
Hvidovre IF 3
Svebolle 0
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 1
Marienlyst 3
Slagelse 1
Bredballe 1
Middelfart 4
Holbaek 1
Fremad Amager 2
TBD -
Randers FC -
VSK Aarhus 3
Thisted FC 2
TBD -
Nordsjaelland -
Skjold 1
Helsingor 3
Roskilde 1
Odense 2
Varde 0
Horsens 8
Skive 1
Silkeborg 3
Fremad Valby 0
Vanlose 4
Vordingborg 0
Vejle 2
Brabrand 4
Vendsyssel FF 3
Kolding IF 2
Esbjerg 1
Boldklubben 1893 0
Nykobing 1
TBD -
FC Copenhagen -
Aalborg Freja 2
Helsted 1
Fjordager 2
Lyseng 3
Allerod 3
Herlev 0
TBD -
Brondby -
Kjellerup 2
Aarhus Fremad 1
TBD -
Midtjylland -
Tarnby FF 1
Lyngby 5
FIUK Odense 0
Aalborg 13
1/16-finals
BK Frem 0
Aarhus 3
Boldklubben 1913 3
Sonderjyske 4
AB Copenhagen 0
Fredericia 2
Hvidovre IF 3
Frederiksberg Alliancen 2000 0
Marienlyst 1
Middelfart 2
Fremad Amager 2
Randers FC 3
VSK Aarhus 1
Nordsjaelland 2
Helsingor 0
Odense 3
Horsens 3
Silkeborg 2
Vanlose 3
Vejle 4
Brabrand 0
Kolding IF 1
Nykobing 3
FC Copenhagen 0
Aalborg Freja 2
Lyseng 1
Allerod 1
Brondby 8
Kjellerup 0
Midtjylland 5
Lyngby 0
Aalborg 4
1/8-finals
Aarhus 0
Sonderjyske 2
Fredericia 1
Hvidovre IF 2
Middelfart 0
Randers FC 4
Nordsjaelland 1
Odense 4
Horsens 1
Vejle 3
Kolding IF 3
Nykobing 2
Aalborg Freja 0
Brondby 3
Midtjylland 3
Aalborg 1
Quarter-finals
Sonderjyske 4
Hvidovre IF 3
Randers FC 2
Odense 3
Vejle 6
Kolding IF 3
Brondby 2
Midtjylland 3
Semi-finals
Sonderjyske 1
Odense 5
Vejle 1
Midtjylland 4
Final
Odense 0
Midtjylland 1
