Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Marienlyst vs Svendborg

Denmark Denmark

2nd Division - Group 2 2016/2017
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Kristiansen J.
75'
Hansen M.
75'
Hansen M.

AI Match Summary

The 2nd Division - Group 2 2016/2017 game between Marienlyst and Svendborg finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marienlyst.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Marienlyst
20%
Draws
51%
Svendborg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Svendborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Marienlyst carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Marienlyst Clean Sheet 16%
Svendborg Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marienlyst Svendborg
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 1 6
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.69 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2016 2nd Division - Group 2
Marienlyst vs Svendborg
2:0
Sep 3, 2016 2nd Division - Group 2
Svendborg vs Marienlyst
0:2
Oct 24, 2015 2nd Division - Group 2
Marienlyst vs Svendborg
2:1
Aug 29, 2015 2nd Division - Group 2
Svendborg vs Marienlyst
1:1
Apr 11, 2015 2nd Division West
Marienlyst vs Svendborg
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marienlyst Compare

Top Goalscorer Kristiansen J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Udesen J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Svendborg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marienlyst 31 / 100
Svendborg 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marienlyst Svendborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Svendborg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Svendborg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Marienlyst scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Marienlyst has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Marienlyst VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Marienlyst

(Home)
26 Aug
Marienlyst
1 : 3
VSK Aarhus
05 Aug
Hedensted
0 : 5
Marienlyst
28 Feb
Naesby
2 : 2
Marienlyst
06 Aug
Marienlyst
1 : 2
Esbjerg
22 Feb
Naesby
5 : 3
Marienlyst
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Svendborg

(Away)
17 Jun
Hellerup
2 : 2
Svendborg
10 Jun
Svendborg
2 : 5
Odder
05 Jun
Svendborg
2 : 1
Holbaek
01 Jun
Fredensborg
0 : 1
Svendborg
27 May
Svendborg
0 : 2
Vejgaard
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kolding IF 14 9 1 4 37:24 28
2 Dalum IF 14 5 6 3 18:16 21
3 Greve IF 14 5 5 4 16:14 20
4 Marienlyst 14 5 4 5 15:15 19
5 Naesby 14 5 2 7 17:25 17
6 FC Sydvest 05 14 4 3 7 24:27 15
7 Middelfart 14 7 4 3 26:20 13
8 Svendborg 14 2 3 9 14:26 9
Relegation - 2nd Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - 2nd Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - 2nd Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - 2nd Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Relegation Group)