Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Marienlyst vs Tarup-Paarup

Denmark Denmark

2nd Division - Group 1 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Larsen R.
48' Event
Fonss A.
88' Event
Madsen K.

AI Match Summary

The 2nd Division - Group 1 2018/2019 game between Marienlyst and Tarup-Paarup finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marienlyst.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Marienlyst
20%
Draws
16%
Tarup-Paarup
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Marienlyst

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Marienlyst carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Marienlyst's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 2nd Division - Group 1 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Marienlyst here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Marienlyst Clean Sheet 20%
Tarup-Paarup Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marienlyst Tarup-Paarup
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 1 4
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 1.68 1.3
Goals Conceded 2.04 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2022 Club Friendly
Tarup-Paarup vs Marienlyst
3:0
Aug 4, 2020 Club Friendly
Marienlyst vs Tarup-Paarup
4:2
May 22, 2019 2nd Division - Group 1
Marienlyst vs Tarup-Paarup
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marienlyst Compare

Top Goalscorer Larsen R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fonss A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Tarup-Paarup Compare

Top Goalscorer Madsen K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marienlyst 85 / 100
Tarup-Paarup 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marienlyst Tarup-Paarup

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marienlyst Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Marienlyst's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Tarup-Paarup has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Tarup-Paarup has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Marienlyst VS Tarup-Paarup
0.88 Goals Scored 0.71
1.5 Goals Conceded 3.71
25% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 86%
25% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Marienlyst

(Home)
26 Aug
Marienlyst
1 : 3
VSK Aarhus
05 Aug
Hedensted
0 : 5
Marienlyst
28 Feb
Naesby
2 : 2
Marienlyst
06 Aug
Marienlyst
1 : 2
Esbjerg
22 Feb
Naesby
5 : 3
Marienlyst
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Tarup-Paarup

(Away)
05 Aug
Tarup-Paarup
0 : 3
Vejle
21 Feb
Tarup-Paarup
0 : 6
Naesby
06 Aug
Morud
3 : 2
Tarup-Paarup
30 Jul
Naesby
5 : 2
Tarup-Paarup
24 Feb
Tarup-Paarup
1 : 1
Naesby
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