Sport Picks

Lithuania

I Lyga 2016

Marijampole City

5 - 1

FK Krazante Kelme

Our Tip

Match Events

14'

Beniusis R.

29'

Serbenta H.

40'

Bagdanavicius V.

Own Goal

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Marijampole City in this I Lyga 2016 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Marijampole City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Marijampole City

40%

Draws

29%

FK Krazante Kelme

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Marijampole City have won more games recently than FK Krazante Kelme.
40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular I Lyga 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Marijampole City have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Marijampole City Clean Sheet 12%

FK Krazante Kelme Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Marijampole City	FK Krazante Kelme
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	12	8
Draws	2	4
Losses	18	18
Goals Scored	0.88	0
Goals Conceded	2.5	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2016 I Lyga

Marijampole City vs FK Krazante Kelme

Possession: 56% - 47% Cards: 1 - 1

5:1

Mar 26, 2016 I Lyga

FK Krazante Kelme vs Marijampole City

Possession: 40% - 59% Cards: 2 - 3

0:5

Sep 12, 2015 I Lyga

Marijampole City vs FK Krazante Kelme

Possession: 47% - 51% Cards: 4 - 3

3:2

May 30, 2015 I Lyga

FK Krazante Kelme vs Marijampole City

Possession: 54% - 46% Cards: 2 - 1

2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marijampole City Compare

Top Goalscorer Beniusis R.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Serbenta H.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

FK Krazante Kelme Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marijampole City 30 / 100

FK Krazante Kelme 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Marijampole City FK Krazante Kelme

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Krazante Kelme's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 5.25 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: FK Krazante Kelme registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Marijampole City found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Marijampole City VS -

0.88 Goals Scored 0

2.5 Goals Conceded 0

75% Over 1.5 0%

63% Over 2.5 0%

63% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Marijampole City	30	23	3	4	95:25	72
2	Palanga	30	21	7	2	96:29	70
3	Vilniaus Vytis	30	19	3	8	102:34	60
4	Nevezis Kedainiai	30	17	9	4	76:38	60
5	FK Panevezys	30	17	8	5	68:35	59
6	Banga	30	15	7	8	62:31	52
7	Dziugas Telsiai	30	15	3	12	51:44	48
8	Zalgiris 2	30	14	3	13	62:61	45
9	Dainava Alytus	30	13	4	13	57:46	43
10	FC Hegelmann	30	13	3	14	55:56	42
11	Riteriai 2	30	9	3	18	44:59	30
12	Silute	30	8	6	16	38:60	30
13	FK Krazante Kelme	30	8	4	18	47:86	28
14	Lokomotyvas Radviliskis	30	6	5	19	42:86	23
15	FBK Kaunas	30	4	1	25	25:134	13
16	FK Minija	30	3	1	26	27:123	10