Sport Picks
Marilia vs Gremio Prudente - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Copa Paulista 
Match Events
29'
29'
Carlos Alberto
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
8%
30%
62%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gremio Prudente
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
62%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Marilia lately — more wins on the board than Gremio Prudente.
- 62% — that's where the model lands on Gremio Prudente taking it.
- Marilia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Marilia, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Marilia Clean Sheet 16%
Gremio Prudente Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Marilia | Gremio Prudente |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 12 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Copa Paulista
Gremio Prudente vs Marilia
1:0
Jul 17, 2026 Copa Paulista
Marilia vs Gremio Prudente
1:0
Jan 31, 2024 Paulista A3
Gremio Prudente vs Marilia
2:2
Aug 19, 2023 Copa Paulista
Gremio Prudente vs Marilia
1:2
Jul 15, 2023 Copa Paulista
Marilia vs Gremio Prudente
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Marilia Compare
Top Goalscorer Carlos Alberto
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Gremio Prudente Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Marilia 10 / 100
Gremio Prudente 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Marilia Gremio Prudente
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gremio Prudente Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Marilia scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Gremio Prudente let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.
Marilia went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Marilia VS Gremio Prudente
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Marilia
(Home) 22 Aug
Gremio Prudente
1 : 0 Marilia
15 Aug
Marilia
0 : 1 Linense
11 Aug
Marilia
1 : 1 Bandeirante
01 Aug
Bandeirante
3 : 1 Marilia
26 Jul
Linense
3 : 1 Marilia
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Marilia
0 : 1 Linense
11 Aug
Marilia
1 : 1 Bandeirante
17 Jul
Marilia
1 : 0 Gremio Prudente
22 Apr
Marilia
2 : 2 Portuguesa Santista
18 Apr
Marilia
3 : 2 XV de Jau
Page 1 of 4
Gremio Prudente
(Away) 03 Oct
Uniao Sao Joao
2 : 1 Gremio Prudente
26 Sept
Gremio Prudente
0 : 0 Uniao Sao Joao
20 Sept
Linense
1 : 2 Gremio Prudente
15 Sept
Gremio Prudente
2 : 2 Linense
07 Sept
Paulista
2 : 3 Gremio Prudente
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Uniao Sao Joao
2 : 1 Gremio Prudente
20 Sept
Linense
1 : 2 Gremio Prudente
07 Sept
Paulista
2 : 3 Gremio Prudente
14 Aug
Bandeirante
1 : 0 Gremio Prudente
09 Aug
Linense
5 : 2 Gremio Prudente
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Linense | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:3 | 14 |
| 2 | Bandeirante | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 8 |
| 3 | Gremio Prudente | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | 7 |
| 4 | Marilia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:9 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Noroeste | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 2 | Uniao Sao Joao | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 6:5 | 8 |
| 3 | Comercial | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 4 | Piracicaba | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:6 | 6 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juventus-SP | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:5 | 10 |
| 2 | Primavera EC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 3 | Paulista | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 4 | Osasco Sporting | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:11 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sao Jose EC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 13 |
| 2 | EC Sao Bernardo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12:8 | 9 |
| 3 | Sao Caetano | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:9 | 2 |
| 4 | Santo Andre | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | 0 |
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
